Morgan Stanley has upgraded its outlook on Brazilian stocks to overweight, citing favorable conditions for a new investment cycle in the country amid a broader shift in emerging markets. The firm highlighted a potential "Latin American electoral trade" as a catalyst for this positive stance. Alongside Brazil, Morgan Stanley also upgraded the U.S. industrials sector to overweight and the European banking sector to attractive, noting reduced growth downside risks and improved net interest income prospects. Conversely, the U.S. utilities sector was downgraded from overweight to equal weight. This shift in market sentiment aligns with a growing narrative favoring emerging markets over the U.S., fueled by concerns over a U.S. credit downgrade. Major financial institutions like Bank of America and JP Morgan have positioned emerging markets as the likely leaders of the next bull run. Emerging market equity indices have risen 8.55% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 1% gain. Brazil is expected to benefit from this trend, as investors seek opportunities outside the U.S. amid economic uncertainties.
Crise nos EUA reacende corrida para mercados emergentes — e Brasil pode se beneficiar https://t.co/EWBT4Q8un5 https://t.co/hBRLrt00Vp
米国格下げを機に「米国売り」が再燃し、新興国株が注目を集めている。バンカメは次の強気相場の主役と位置づけ、JPモルガンも格上げ。新興国株指数は年初来8.55%上昇し、S&P500の1%を大きく上回る。新興国株は新たな投資サイクルでの主役となる可能性が高まっている。 https://t.co/g5PjPOBc1k
According to CNBC, emerging markets are expected to experience the next bull run as the 'sell U.S.' narrative gains momentum.