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Excluding the "Magnificent 7" companies, the other 493 $SPX companies are reporting earnings growth of 0.1% for Q3. #earnings, #earningsinsight, https://t.co/wr3seyFR2Y https://t.co/gns4Mn9BB2
1/2 S&P 500 earnings are expected to grow 3.4% in Q3 2024, with all that improvement due to US Big Tech (aka “the Magnificent 7”). The story changes in Q4 2024 & through 2025, when the “S&P 493” should post 12-16% earnings growth (vs just 0.1% in Q3 2024)...

Bank of America (BofA) and Goldman Sachs (GS) have provided insights into the current earnings season. BofA reports that 21% of companies have reported earnings so far, with a 5% EPS beat, led by the Financials sector. Additionally, 74% of companies beat on EPS, 60% on sales, and 51% on both, surpassing historical averages. The Corporate Sentiment Indicator has reached a record high, and mentions of weak demand have fallen to a two-year low. Goldman Sachs forecasts a 14% EPS growth for the S&P 500 next year. However, the growth is heavily skewed by the 'Magnificent 7' companies, which are expected to grow their earnings by 18.1% year-over-year in Q3 2024, while the other 493 companies show no growth. Analysts expect double-digit earnings growth for these 493 companies from Q4 2024 through Q4 2025. Realized earnings reactions have topped implied reactions this season, and GS notes their forecast would be 4 pp greater without the current high market concentration.