
As of mid-February 2025, the U.S. stock market is exhibiting notable trends and metrics. A report indicates that 76% of S&P 500 companies have surpassed earnings per share (EPS) estimates for the fourth quarter, slightly below the five-year average of 77% but above the ten-year average of 75%. The S&P 500 is experiencing earnings growth of 16.9% for Q4, marking the highest growth in three years. Additionally, nine out of eleven sectors are reporting year-over-year earnings growth, with six sectors achieving double-digit growth. Despite these positive earnings reports, concerns about market fragility are rising, as stock fragility among the largest 50 S&P 500 stocks has reached record levels, making the market more vulnerable than during the Dot-Com Bubble. Furthermore, the U.S. share of the global equity market has hit a record 56%, and the market-to-GDP ratio has reached 209%, surpassing the previous record of 200% set before the 2022 bear market. The S&P 500's CAPE ratio has also climbed to 37.0x, indicating a historically high valuation. The concentration of market value among the top 10 S&P 500 stocks has grown to 40%, double the percentage from seven years ago and significantly higher than during the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble.







🚨US TECHNOLOGY STOCKS ARE THE MOST EXPENSIVE IN HISTORY🚨 The S&P 500 Information Technology Price-to-Sales ratio (P/S) hit 9.7x at the end of 2024, almost DOUBLED in 2 years. In turn, the Magnificent 7 P/S ratio hit 8.6x rising by 110% since Dec 2022👇 https://t.co/vv6dIxVp9v
⁉️IS THIS THE MOTHER OF ALL BUBBLES⁉️ Magnificent 7 stocks have skyrocketed ~2,900% over the last 10 years. This is more than 2x than any other past market bubbles (click on the chart). However, we have to remember that bubbles do not burst overnight👇 https://t.co/oBhxNRhigM
SPX ex-MAG7 +5.8% YTD Mag7 +0.75% https://t.co/bYEjI5lyr7