



⚠️WALL STREET EARNINGS ESTIMATES ARE FALLING⚠️ Earnings estimates for 2025 have rolled over and declined over the last few weeks. At the same time, the S&P 500 continued to rise making valuations even more stretched (expensive). Will earnings estimates catch up or stocks fall? https://t.co/9FdDA2RNw6
华尔街分析师通常会在每年第四季度下调对来年企业利润的预测,不过今年的下调幅度略大于往常,股票高估值增大了投资者面临的风险。投资者需要担忧吗? https://t.co/2KdryrfYX5 https://t.co/2KdryrfYX5
"While it’s been predominantly a cost cutting and efficiency gains story to date, more companies are participating in the earnings recovery (~60% of S&P 500 companies have positive EPS growth today versus ~50% in 1Q 2023)." - MS Wilson https://t.co/MTn2XGAs3U

Wall Street analysts are reducing their earnings expectations for 2025, raising concerns among investors about potential risks associated with high stock valuations. Estimates for earnings per share (EPS) for the S&P 500 have been cut, despite the index's recent rally, which has been largely driven by valuation expansion rather than earnings growth. Additionally, projections for small-cap earnings have been halved since early 2022, while small-cap stocks are trading at similar levels to those in early 2022. Currently, around 60% of S&P 500 companies are experiencing positive EPS growth, an increase from approximately 50% in the first quarter of 2023. The downward revision of profit forecasts this year appears more significant than in previous years, prompting questions about whether investors should be concerned about the sustainability of stock prices amidst these changes.