
The American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) sentiment survey for the week ending January 17, 2025, indicates a notable decline in bullish sentiment, which has dropped to 25.4% from 34.7% the previous week. This marks the lowest level since mid-July 2024, when bullish sentiment reached 52.7%. Concurrently, bearish sentiment has risen to 40.6%, up from 37.4% the week prior, representing the highest level of bearish sentiment observed in over a year. The bear-bull spread of 15.2 percentage points is the largest since November 2023. Analysts suggest that such low bullish sentiment levels often precede potential buying opportunities in the stock market. Additionally, U.S. money market funds have reached an all-time high of $8.2 trillion, and the market capitalization of the largest 50 stocks relative to GDP has hit 110%, surpassing previous peaks during the Dot-Com Bubble and the Global Financial Crisis. Furthermore, the allocation of financial assets in U.S. stocks by households, mutual funds, pension funds, and foreign investors has reached a record 54%, exceeding the Dot-Com Bubble peak by 3 percentage points.











#AAII #survey: Just 25.4% said bullish, well off the mid-52-week high of 52.7% seen in mid-July. Meanwhile, 40.6% of respondents voted the next 6-months would be #bearish, the highest level seen in more than a year, chart @YahooFinance https://t.co/gukTLF2fA4
米国株、ハイイールド債、米ドル、住宅の合計値から米国債の価値を引いた数値はITバブルや世界金融危機時を大きく上回り全てのバブルが加速している。それでも投資家の強気センチメントは過去最高。個人投資家、投信、年金等の米国株への資産配分は過去最高に達している。あらゆる投資家がリスクオン。 https://t.co/SPoA4cvBRi
미국 증시 과열에 대한 경계심으로 국내 투자자의 미국 주식 보유액이 한 달 전에 비해 소폭 감소했다. https://t.co/FEqdvtEUSp