According to Deutsche Bank’s latest survey, the odds of a U.S. 🇺🇸 recession in the next 12 months are now 43%.
With stocks struggling out of the gate in 2025, a wide range of Wall Street forecasts, both positive and negative, feel like plausible stock market predictions. With an upside range as low as 6,200 and as high as 7,100, forecasters are calling for the $GSPC to rally anywhere https://t.co/XHBG2BMroR
The stock market so far in 2025 explained https://t.co/R5kQZGxwo5



Recent surveys indicate growing concerns among global investors regarding the economic outlook. A significant 63% of global investors anticipate a weakening world economy within the next 12 months. This sentiment reflects a notable shift, with 25% of institutional investors becoming negative about global economic prospects in March, marking the second largest change in 31 years. Additionally, Goldman Sachs has raised its recession probability for the U.S. to 20%, while a Bank of America survey reveals that 55% of fund managers foresee a global recession. Deutsche Bank's latest survey further supports these fears, estimating a 43% chance of a U.S. recession within the next year. The S&P 500 is also facing pressure, with 44% of global investors expecting a stronger economy, a drop of 42 percentage points since February. Historically, such a spike in pessimism has preceded declines in the S&P 500 over subsequent months.