The yield curve has been inverted for an extended period without causing a recession. However, historical data show that such inversions have typically led to economic downturns, with exceptions like in 2015. Recent indicators suggest a potential market downturn despite no recession or drop in real GDP.
This is officially the long 2y/10y inversion in history All other times were a precursor to a Recession https://t.co/yx6ZrRAjOR
Leading indicators are starting to turn over ... without a recession, or a drop in real GDP. Similar story with yield inversion. Imagine the market f'ked everyone? https://t.co/5fUR2xn1iC
Leading indicators are starting to turn over ... without a recession, or a drop in real GDP. Similar story with yield inversion. Imagine the market f'ked everyone. https://t.co/osfxPX1vf6