Howard Marks, co-chairman and co-founder of Oaktree Capital Management, said U.S. equities appear costly compared with underlying fundamentals and may be entering the “early days” of a market bubble. In comments made on 20 August, Marks compared the current environment to the late-1990s bout of “irrational exuberance,” though he stopped short of predicting a near-term sell-off. Marks noted that the United States has gone 16 years without a significant correction and that valuations now look stretched. Even so, he said there is “no reason to think” an immediate downturn is coming, arguing instead that the market could continue to rise before any mean reversion takes hold. The veteran investor advised that credit markets currently offer a more defensive posture than equities, suggesting investors may want to balance portfolios accordingly.
Bloomberg: Howard Marks warns US stocks may be in the early days of a bubble. Not ringing alarm bells yet, but valuations look stretched reminds him of late ’90s “irrational exuberance.” Says mean reversion is “very likely,” with credit looking more defensive vs. equities.
Howard Marks: "It's been 16 years since a serious correction" Everyone: "So we're due?" Marks: "Well, early bubble days, but not ringing alarms" The hedge remains perfectly hedged 😂 https://t.co/61L1qu7nIG
US stocks are “in the early days” for a bubble, although the critical point for a correction has yet to come, Oaktree co-founder Howard Marks cautioned https://t.co/V2sMCNuq5Z