
Prediction markets are gaining traction as tools for forecasting election outcomes, with a notable performance record of accurately predicting winners in 10 out of the last 11 presidential elections since 1980, excluding 2016. Recent discussions highlight the increasing interest in platforms such as Polymarket, Kalshi, and others, which have collectively seen substantial financial activity. For instance, $850 million was wagered on the recent U.S. presidential debate alone, and the market is projected to grow to approximately $95.3 billion by 2032. Currently, over 40 prediction market protocols have launched within the past six months, contributing to a trading volume exceeding $4 billion and a total value locked (TVL) of $175 million on platforms like Polymarket. Analysts suggest that these markets may offer insights into public sentiment and electoral trends, potentially influencing how campaigns strategize moving forward.
My eyes are on prediction markets right now. ICYMI: - $850M wagered on the US presidential debate alone. - 40+ prediction market protocols launched in just 6 months. - Market size projected to grow to ~$95.3B by 2032. - $4B+ trading volume recorded. - $175M TVL, with @Polymarket… https://t.co/i36efFG2CI
When exactly did the internal GOP/Dem polling on the Presidential election actually start telling insiders that things were moving to Trump’s favor? Take a look at Polymarket. Weird spike right? When nothing else was going on. Prediction markets are a mechanism that… https://t.co/6L0RwelgEE
Prediction Markets > polls https://t.co/tPk20B830g

