The Invesco QQQ Trust (ticker: QQQ), which tracks major U.S. technology stocks, has been a strong performer relative to the S&P 500 over the past 25 years. Recent technical analysis shows the equally weighted Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQEW) has just closed above its 200-day moving average for the first time since March 25, 2025, indicating a potential shift in trend. However, the weekly chart suggests that QQEW still needs to break above the 2025 value area level at $125.55 to confirm further gains. Investors have benefited from holding QQQs and focusing on leading tech companies, particularly the so-called Mag7 stocks, which currently trade at price-to-earnings ratios around 35. Despite this, concerns remain about a possible short-term peak in QQQ's upward trend and the impact of looming protectionist policies that could challenge these valuations.
Dear TradFi investors, For the last 15 years, you have done really well by holding QQQs and just betting on the American Tech Machine. Other than the Mag7, your results have been mediocre. And these names are now trading at PEs of 35, and about to hit a wall of protectionism.
$QQEW Weekly Chart still will need to break above its '25 Value Area, level to watch $125.55 https://t.co/1FcmV7IKmB https://t.co/j39zNa4e15
$QQEW the Equally Weighted $NDX just barely closes above its 200d MA for 1st time since 3/25 https://t.co/e20LdidpGy