DeepNewz, mobile.
People-sourced. AI-powered. Unbiased News.
Download on the App Store
Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story detail view.
May 19, 11:11 PM
S&P 500 Forward P/E Nears Post-2021 Peak as 2025 Earnings Fall Under $260 and Tech Earnings Grow 50%
Economics
Stocks
Business

S&P 500 Forward P/E Nears Post-2021 Peak as 2025 Earnings Fall Under $260 and Tech Earnings Grow 50%

Authors
  • Michael J. Kramer
  • Special Situations 🌐 Research Newsletter (Jay)
  • The Compound
5

The S&P 500 is showing elevated valuation metrics as its forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has risen to approximately 21.5, nearing the post-2021 peak of 22.3 recorded in December. This marks an increase of 2.5 points since late April 2025. Despite a 18.9% loss in the S&P 500 from February to April 2025, the P/E ratio remained about 30% above its historical median of 19.4, and it is approaching bubble territory at 30x. Earnings estimates for the S&P 500 in 2025 have been revised downward to under $260 per share, with expected earnings growth of 9.2% and a P/E ratio rising to 23. For 2026, earnings estimates have also declined to below $295 per share, with projected growth of 13.4% and a P/E ratio of 20. The technology sector within the S&P 500 has the highest exposure to global customers and suppliers compared to other sectors. Tech companies’ estimated earnings grew about 50% over 2023 and 2024, while their share prices surged 112% during the same period.

Written with ChatGPT (GPT-4).

Additional media

Image #1 for story s-p-500-forward-p-e-nears-post-2021-peak-2025-earnings-fall-under-260-tech-grow-171fb20c
Image #2 for story s-p-500-forward-p-e-nears-post-2021-peak-2025-earnings-fall-under-260-tech-grow-171fb20c
Image #3 for story s-p-500-forward-p-e-nears-post-2021-peak-2025-earnings-fall-under-260-tech-grow-171fb20c
Image #4 for story s-p-500-forward-p-e-nears-post-2021-peak-2025-earnings-fall-under-260-tech-grow-171fb20c
Image #5 for story s-p-500-forward-p-e-nears-post-2021-peak-2025-earnings-fall-under-260-tech-grow-171fb20c