The S&P 500 and Nasdaq stock indexes have reached record closing highs, marking their best quarterly performance in over a year. This rally has been driven by easing investor uncertainty amid hopes for trade deals and potential interest rate cuts. The strong U.S. jobs data further bolstered market confidence, with Nvidia's shares surging and its market capitalization nearing $4 trillion. Over the past three months, the S&P 500 has gained approximately 24%, a level of short-term performance seen only a few times since 1980, including in years such as 1997, 1998, 1999, 2009, and 2020. The market has also outperformed global risk sentiment indicators by over 4% cumulatively in recent weeks. Historical data suggests that when the S&P 500 rises more than 25% after a correction of at least 15%, forward returns tend to continue positively, with a perfect record of positive six-month returns in 18 post-World War II instances.
The S&P 500 is up by 24% over the past 3 months. Going back to 1980, these are the only years in which we've seen instances of a stronger rolling 3-month return: 2020 2009 1999 1998 1997 https://t.co/DmGB2lkh6d
The stock market has rallied over 20% in just 55 days This is only the 4th we’ve seen this since 1998 The last 3 preceded significant market upside This time is NOT different https://t.co/J6JSAVn3mT
Over the last 20 days, we have generally seen the S&P index outperform the signals from global assets correlated to risk sentiment. The S&P has outperformed the model by +4.15% cumulatively during the period. https://t.co/qVHqTQU06h