The S&P 500 experienced its first back-to-back weekly decline since late October, with a decrease of 0.26% and 0.13% over the past two weeks. However, it has seen a significant 24.3% increase over the past 20 weeks, marking the best 20-week stretch since August 2020. Additionally, the index narrowly missed being up 17 out of 20 weeks for the first time since 1964. Historical data shows that when the S&P 500 has risen by 20% or more in a 20-week period, it has been higher one year later in 21 out of 22 instances. Technical analysis suggests a potential topping pattern in the S&P 500, with attention on upcoming price movements and key support levels amid market volatility and upcoming events like the FOMC meeting.
$SPX Chart Update: -2.5% multi-day drop could be upon us. Key support levels: 5,100ish 5,050ish 5,000 (big kahuna) 4,981.50 (gap fill) Daily RSI kind of breaking down, finally. FOMC this upcoming week. Rate cuts this year was a sure thing, but now some folks saying none at… https://t.co/e1BilspQ7z
NAAIM over 100 feels like a contrarian sell. Turns out, the data suggests otherwise. S&P 500 up a yr later 89% of time and up 15% on avg. @jaykaeppel @sentimentrader https://t.co/dk3AxycQ8i
Strong Trends & Returns: 95% of historical cases higher a year later; average additional gain 13%. https://t.co/qlZaxtbGyM