In the evolving landscape of U.S. venture capital, secondary transactions are increasingly becoming the preferred method for exits, surpassing traditional routes like IPOs and mergers and acquisitions (M&A). In 2024, approximately 70% of venture capital exits were executed through secondary transactions, reflecting a notable trend that is also emerging in Japan. The slowdown in IPOs has prompted funds to seek liquidity through secondary markets, with 11 U.S. venture-backed companies achieving valuations of $1 billion or more through public listings or acquisitions this year, more than double the number from the same period last year. Despite the rise of secondary transactions, they represent a small portion of the overall market, valued between $41 billion and $60 billion, compared to the $2.9 trillion in unicorn valuations. Analysts suggest that while secondary transactions are currently gaining traction, M&A may become the dominant exit strategy for startups in the future.
As public markets got over regulated - private markets stepped up. Now a quasi-public, late-stage market exists with massive liquidity & financing rounds that look like private IPOs. OpenAI, SpaceX, Databricks, etc. Grt for late stage firms - bad for retail investors. 🎯📈 https://t.co/psEy97ZhcW
my gut says this evens out more over the next few years, and m&a becomes the most popular exit for most startups https://t.co/iUIUQuhP7E
Secondaries are a hot topic in venture amid the quiet exit market. As @ttunguz says, "we should expect secondaries to become a permanent and significant part of VC liquidity." Yet, @PitchBook's analysis shows it's a $41B-$60B market—tiny compared to $2.9T in unicorn valuations. https://t.co/LTH1YgGhKt