
Following this week's elevated FOMC volatility, the implied volatility (IV) for the S&P 500 (SPX) is now at a relatively low 15-16 for next week and extending to the election period. The VIX futures are higher, near 19, indicating some market caution. Despite this, the VIX itself remains stable, and downside puts have seen increased bids. Market participants noted that the VIX futures did not turn positive, suggesting a potential for volatility premiums to decrease, which could drive the SPY higher. The VVIX/VIX ended the day on trend, and with VIXpiration occurring today, support levels are being observed. As event risks diminish, a slight repricing of volatility to the downside is anticipated, particularly post-OPEX. Traders are still seeking volatility hedges, especially post-Election, with tech and small caps seeing bids, though no new highs have been broadly observed in NYSE-listed stocks. After the FOMC, GEX/DEX saw a sharp drop as traders braced for unfavorable outcomes.
After the FOMC, GEX/DEX saw a sharp drop as traders braced for unfavorable outcomes. While that phase seems over, demand for volatility hedges persists, especially post-Election. Tech/small caps seeing bids, with lower VIX, COR3/COR1 but no new Highs broadly in NYSE listed… https://t.co/tNRnn2T6km
Volatility has been somewhat stubborn in both directions over the past week. With event risks gradually dissipating from the market, I anticipate a slight repricing of volatility to the downside in the coming days, particularly post-OPEX. We’ll likely see the VIX drop by a point…
VVIX/VIX ended the day right on trend. For now we can call this support as today was VIXpiration, unless things get ugly into OpEx Friday. https://t.co/ERLCDGDeOJ https://t.co/BhnvUWecPJ

