
Wall Street analysts have reduced their Q3 S&P 500 earnings estimates by 2.8% during the first two months of the quarter. Despite the cut, experts believe this is not a cause for concern and could lead to a better Q3 earnings season compared to Q2. Historical data indicates that Wall Street analyst estimates can be 30% too high at their peak, which some strategists argue may be the case now. However, the consensus is that earnings resilience is expected into 2025, with modest sequential growth over the next 18 months. Additionally, lower interest rates provide a reason to remain optimistic about the market's performance.
Sources
Nick Colas & Jessica Rabe (DataTrek)Wall Street analysts are slowly reducing their aggregate S&P 500 earnings estimates for the next 6 quarters, but we should still see modest sequential growth over the next 18 months. Even if earnings end up flat, lower interest rates are a valid reason to remain bullish. $SPY
MarketWatchNeed to Know: This strategist thinks earnings estimates are overshooting by 30% https://t.co/GmXR9ugnoy
Markets TodayWall Street is cutting estimates for earnings in the current quarter but strategists argue the stage is set for earnings "resilience" into 2025. https://t.co/ltDGN7VG70

