OptionProbability
(JAP) Red flag during Qualyfing session
[BAH] Safety car during the race
[BAH] Yuki Tsunoda scores points
[BAH] Bearman scores points
[SAU] Safety Car during the race
[SAU] Tsunoda makes it into Q3
[SAU] Leclerc will get top 4 in the race
[MIA] Norris qualifies ahead of Piastri (main race qualifying)
[MIA] Non-Mclaren pole in Sprint Qualifying
[MIA] Piastri finishes ahead of Norris in GP
[MIA] Williams double points in the main GP
[MIA] Over 3.5 Drivers DNF in the main race
[MIA] Both McLaren on the podium
[IMO] Physical Safety Car during the race
[IMO] Max Verstappen Podium Finish
[IMO] Colapinto replaces Doohan in at least one session
[IMO] Piastri qualifies ahead of Norris
[IMO] Tsunoda scores point(s)
[MON] Red Flag during Qualifying
[MON] Pole Sitter wins the race
[MON] At least one impeding penalty during qualifying
[MON] 4+ pit stops in the first 5 laps
[MON] Norris scores more points than Piastri
[MON] Yellow flag on the 1st lap of the race
[MON] Both Ferraris finish in top 5
[SPA] Both Ferraris reach Q3
[SPA] McLaren Pole Position
[SPA] McLaren 1-2 (race)
[CAN] Physical Safety Car during the race
[CAN] Red Flag during Qualifying
[CAN] Stroll starts the race
[CAN] Impeding penalty during Qualifying (at least 1)
[CAN] Mercedes Podium
[CAN] Hulkenberg finishes in top 10
[CAN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton
[AUT] Physical Safety Car during the race
[AUT] Yellow flag first lap
[AUT] Bortoleto reaches Q3
[AUT] McLaren 1-2
[AUT] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton
[AUT] Bortoleto finishes top 10
[GBR] Yellow Flag first lap
[GBR] Physical Safety Car during the race
[GBR] McLaren 1-2 (race)
[GBR] Non-McLaren pole position
[GBR] VSR virtual safety car during the race.
[GBR] Gasly finishes in top 10
[BEL] Physical Safety Car during the main race
[BEL] McLaren double podium (main race)
[BEL] Intermediate or wet weather tyres needed for the main race
[BEL] A Ferrari driver doesn't reach Q3 (main race qualifying)
[BEL] Bortoleto reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)
[BEL] Leclerc podium (main race)
[BEL] Bortoleto in the top 10 (main race)
[BEL] Hamilton top 10 (main race)
[HUN] McLaren 1-2 in the race
[HUN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton in the race
[HUN] Antonelli finishes in the points
[HUN] Bortoleto finishes in the points
[HUN] Both Aston Martins score points
[HUN] Leclerc is in first position at the end of lap 1
[NLD] Physical Safety Car during the race
[NLD] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)
[NLD] Verstappen on the podium
[NLD] Tsunoda finishes in top 10
[ITA] New track record Set in Qualifying
[ITA] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[ITA] Non-McLaren pole position
[ITA] Hamilton finishes in top 6
[AZE] Physical Safety Car during the race
[AZE] Red flag during qualifying
[AZE] Yellow flag First Lap main race
[AZE] Norris and or Piastri Fail to finish due to an accident
[AZE] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[AZE] Non-McLaren pole position
[AZE] Mercedes on the podium (at least 1 driver)
[SGP] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)
[SGP] Bearman finishes in top 10 (race)
[COTA] Yellow flag first lap (main race)
[COTA] Physical Safety Car or Virtual Safety Car during the main race
[COTA] Verstappen wins the sprint race
[COTA] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (main race)
[COTA] Leclerc finishes on the podium (main race)
[COTA] Bearman finishes in top 10 (main race)
[COTA] Hulkenberg finishes on top 10 (main race)
[MEX] all 3 tyre compounds used in main race
[MEX] Bearman finishes in top 10 (race)
[MEX] At least one Ferrari on the podium
[MEX] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)
[MEX] Max finishes 3rd
[BRA] Physical Safety Car during the main race
[BRA] yellow flag first lap (main race)
[BRA] The same driver wins the Sprint and the GP
[BRA] McLaren pole in the SPRINT qualifying
[BRA] Antonelli Sprint podium
[BRA] Verstappen finishes the main race in the top 6
[BRA] Antonelli podium in the main race
[BRA] Both Racing Bulls finish in top 10 in the main race
[LAS]Verstappen finishes ahead of both McLarens
[LAS] Yellow flag first lap
[LAS] All 3 tyre compounds used in main race
[LAS] Sainz finishes in top 5 (race)
[LAS] Hulkenberg finishes in top 10 (race)
[QAT] Verstappen scores more points than Norris during the whole weekend
[QAT] Alonso scores points in the sprint race
[QAT] Alonso in top 10 (main race)
[ABU] NON-McLaren pole position
[ABU] A Ferrari doesn't reach Q3
[ABU] Physical Safety Car during the race
[ABU] All 3 tyre compounds used in main race
Leave it open for upcoming GP
[ABU] Yellow flag first lap
[ABU] A driver not in WDC contention podiums
[MIA] Safety car in the main race
[ABU] Three different teams on the podium
[ABU] Verstappen, Piastri or Norris is involved in a collision causing him to DNF (engine, power unit problems etc. do not count)
[ABU] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[BEL] Yellow flag first lap (main race)
[ABU] A driver not in WDC contention wins the race
(JAP) Safety car during the race
(JAP) A rookie crashes and cannot finish the race (technical problems at the gearbox, power unit etc. won't count, it needs to be a crash)
(JAP) Yuki Tsunoda scores points
[JAP] Lawson finishes ahead of Tsunoda
[BAH] Lawson finishes ahead of Tsunoda
[BAH] Ferrari on the podium (at least 1 driver)
[SAU] Mercedes podium (at least 1 driver)
[SAU] McLaren double podium
[SAU] Bearman scores points
[MIA] 🇮🇹 Kimi Antonelli wins the sprint race
[MIA] 🟥 Red flag during main race qualifying
[MIA] Antonelli on the Podium
[IMO] Piastri scores more points than Norris
[IMO] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)
[IMO] Aston Martin both drivers score points
[MON] Physical Safety Car during the race
[MON] Both Mercedes score points (i.e. top 10)
[SPA] Virtual Safety Car during the race
[SPA] Yellow flag first lap
[SPA] Tsunoda goes into Q3
[SPA] Sauber reaches Q3 (at least one driver)
[SPA] someone receives a penalty for obstructing during qualifying
[SPA] Tsunoda finishes in top 10 (race)
[SPA] Hamilton finishes ahead of Leclerc (race)
[SPA] Bortoleto finishes in top 10 (race)
[CAN] Yellow flag first lap
[CAN] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[CAN] Both Williams reach Q3
[CAN] Williams scores over 5.5 WCC points
[AUT] 3 different teams on the podium
[AUT] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[AUT] Stroll reaches Q3
[AUT] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[AUT] Williams scores points (at least one driver)
[AUT] Verstappen penalty for forcing another driver off the track or a collision.
[GBR] Both HAAS cars finish in the points (top 10)
[GBR] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[GBR] Williams reaches Q3 (at least 1 driver)
[GBR] At least one Ferrari on the podium
[GBR] Bearman finishes in top 10
[GBR] At least one Mercedes on the podium
[BEL] Two or more cars DNF (main race)
[BEL] Ferrari in top 3 in the Sprint Qualifying (at least 1 driver)
[BEL] McLaren 1-2 in the Sprint race
[BEL] Verstappen gets a penalty in either the sprint or main race
[BEL] Leclerc on the podium in the sprint race
[BEL] Red flag during qualifying (for the main race)
[BEL] main race is cancelled/aborted
[HUN] Physical Safety Car during the race
[HUN] Impeding penalty during qualifying (at least 1)
[HUN] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[HUN] Yellow flag first lap
[HUN] At least two drivers DNF
[NLD] Impeding penalty during qualifying (at least 1)
[NLD] Exactly 18 cars finish the race
Hamilton finishes in top 7
[NLD] Yellow flag first lap
[NLD] Wet or intermediate tyres used in the main race
[NLD] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[NLD] Antonelli reaches Q3
[NLD] Both Williams reach Q3
[NLD] Red flag during qualifying
[ITA] Physical Safety during the race
[ITA] Impeding penalty during qualifying (at least one)
[ITA] Yellow flag first lap
[ITA] Wet or intermediate tyres needed in Race
[ITA] Both Williams reach Q3
[ITA] Ferrari on the podium (at least one driver)
[AZE] New lap record in Qualifying
[AZE] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton
[AZE] 3 or more DNF (race)
[AZE] Wet or intermediate tyres used in the race.
[SGP] Physical Safety Car during the race
[SGP] Red flag during qualifying
[SGP] Yellow flag first lap
[SGP] 1 or more teams loses both cars in the race
[SGP] Wet or intermediate tyres used in the main race
[SGP] Impeding penalty during qualifying (at least 1)
[SGP] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[SGP] Antonelli on the podium
[SGP] Kick Sauber scores points
[COTA] McLaren pole position in the SPRINT qualifying
[COTA] Hulkenberg top 5 in the sprint race
[COTA] Tsunoda reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)
[COTA] McLaren pole position in the main race qualifying
[COTA] A Ferrari doesn't reach Q3 in the main race qualifying
[COTA] Impeding penalty (at least 1) during main race qualifying
[COTA] Lawson finishes ahead of Tsunoda (main race)
[COTA] Antonelli finishes in top 5 (main race)
[COTA] 6 or more drivers fail to finish the main race
[MEX] Physical Safety Car during the race
[MEX] Red Flag during qualifying
[MEX] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[MEX] Max wins and Oscar finishes 3rd or lower
[MEX] Yuki is send slightly airborne by someone colliding with his right rear tire
[MEX] Yellow flag first lap main race
[MEX] George Russell podium
[MEX] Verstappen takes pole
[MEX] Piastri finishes ahead of Verstappen
[MEX] Red Flag during the Race
[BRA] main race podium is both McLarens and Max in any order
[BRA] a driver from neither McLaren, RBR, Ferrari or Mercedes gets a podium in the main race
[BRA] all three WDC contenders take a part replacement penalty
[BRA] Bortoleto finishes the main race in the points
[BRA] Max finishes the main race ahead of both McLarens
[BRA] Wet or intermediate tyres used in the main race
[BRA] Red flag during qualifying (for the main race)
[BRA] impeding penalty during qualifying (for the main race)
[BRA] McLaren 1-2 in the SPRINT Race
[BRA] Leclerc podium in the main race
[BRA] Alonso finishes in top 10 in the main race
[LAS] Red flag during qualifying
[LAS] Physical safety car during the race
[LAS] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[LAS] Piastri finishes ahead of Norris
[LAS] A Ferrari qualifies in top 4
[LAS] One or more double-DNF (main race)
[LAS] McLaren double podium
[QAT] Verstappen scores 17 points more than Norris over whole weekend
[QAT] Exactly two cars DNF the GP
[QAT] Lando Norris wins WDC
[QAT] Verstappen and Norris make contact in the sprint or main race
[QAT] yellow flag first lap
[QAT] driver disqualified after the main race
[QAT] The same driver wins the Sprint and the main race
[QAT] Tsunoda reaches Q3 of main race qualifying
[QAT] McLaren 1-2 in the sprint race
[QAT] Red flag during main race to clear gravel (no stranded car or significant car parts)
[QAT] Both McLarens touch and at least one of them DNFs because of it
[QAT] Mercedes on the podium (main race)
[QAT] Both Racing Bulls in top 10 (main race)
[QAT] Both Ferraris outside of top 10 (main race)
[ABU] Red flag during qualifying
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
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100
100
100
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100
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100
100
100
100
100
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100
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100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
78
73
53
53
52
41
32
20
9
8
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Adolf Hitler
George Santos
Benito Mussolini
Vladimir Putin
Joseph Stalin
Kanye West
Kim Jong-un
Derek Chauvin
Xi Jinping
Jeffrey Epstein
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Dan Schneider
David Duke
Tucker Carlson
Mao Zedong
Viktor Orbán
Genghis Khan
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
Thanos
Emperor Palpatine from Star Wars
Dolores Umbridge
Nero (Roman emperor)
Bill Cipher
Curtis Yarvin
Nick Land
Shaun King
Caligula
King Leopold II of Belgium
Negan Smith
Alex Jones
Augusto Pinochet
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
A paperclip-maximizing AGI
Lauren Boebert
Pennywise, the clown from “It”
Vlad the Impaler
Saddam Hussein
Commodus
Cthulhu
Hirohito
Lucifer, the King of Hell / Satan
Joffrey Baratheon
Sauron
Hong Xiuquan
SCP-682
Uday Hussein
Nicolas Maduro
Jabba the Hutt
Kyle Rittenhouse
Lee Harvey Oswald
Robert Edward Lee
Pol Pot
The Master / Harry Saxon (from Doctor Who)
Anders Breivik
Voldemort
Chris Benoit
Rush Limbaugh
Gannondorf
Bobby Fischer
Charles Manson
The Mad King Aerys Targaryen II
Jair Bolsonaro
Drake
Hugo Chavez
Chris Chan
Phillipe Petain
A random convicted murderer
Andrew Tate
A large asteroid, plummeting towards Earth's gravity well
Cersei Lannister
Dylan Klebold
Trump's attempted assassin
A severe case of ulcerative colitis
A time traveler who can only go back in time to kill Hitler if he isn't busy being president
Donald Trump
Kang and/or Kodos
Satan
A random citizen with diagnosed paranoid schizophrenia and a dependence on stimulants
Albert Speer
Ibrahim abu Bakr Awad Ibrahim Ali al-Badri al-Baghdadi
Steve Bannon
Josh Hawley
A randomly-chosen prisoner in the US carceral system, sentenced for life
Ron Unz
Ivan the terrible
Otto Skorzeny
Karl Donitz
Christoper Rufo
John Hinckley Jr.
The Loc-Nar
The Grim Reaper
Charles "Chuck" Johnson
Pat Buchanan
A random citizen but he thinks inflation increasing by 200% in a year would be "really cool"
Whatifalthist
Franz von Papen
A virulently antisemitic but otherwise well-meaning person
Erich von Manstein
Nikita Khrushchev
Judas Iscariot
Lyndon LaRouche
Joseph McCarthy
The CEO of MALIBAL
Erich Ludendorff
Roko
Mark Foley
Andronikos II Palaiologos
Liu Shan
Alana "Honey Boo Boo" Thompson
Godzilla
Hasan Piker / Hasanabi
Unabomber
Sima Zhong
LEROY JENKINS
CHELSEA VOSS
Laria Reynolds
Ornlu the Wolf
Jozef Tiso
Marlo Stanfield (The Wire)
A cockroach
Dwayne Elizondo Mountain Dew Herbert Camacho
Alfred Packer
Brent Dill
Steve Sailer
Erwin Rommel
Gongsun Yuan
Hasso von Manteuffel
King John
EMIL OLE WILLIAM KIRKEGAARD
qin shi huang
Shang Yang
Richard Lynn
James Longstreet
Niko Bellic
Hunter Biden's laptop
The exhumed corpse of George Washington (rather than alive during his prime), with a sign around his neck at all times reading 'slave owner' in red lettering
Commodus
Paul Von Hindenburg
Tito
Thomas Midgley Jr.
an asi agent from openai
Vriska Serket
Yuan Shu
Miklos Horthy
Franz Joseph 1
WILLY ON WHEELS
J. Philippe Rushton
Lu Bu
Yuan Shikai
Juan Peron
Connor Duffy
Faust
Charles XII of Sweden
Zhou Enlai
Samuel Alito
@StochasticParrot (Stochastic Cockatoo)
Darkstalker (Wings of Fire)
Giego Caleiro
Fredrick Robert Brennan
Mehmed V
Black Hat (XKCD)
Jeremy Nixon
Charles Murray
Paul Ehrlich
Michael de Santa
anatoly karlin
Jonathan Anomaly
Alexey Guzey
King George III of England
Yuan Shao
Jar Jar Binks
Peter Thiel
Liang Mong-song
Lucy Guo
Klaus Schwab
Karl Marx
Stephen Hsu
James Buchanan
A literal ham sandwich
A randomly chosen child (<13) who does not speak English and who has never been to North or Central America
Rochelle Shen
JD Vance
Emperor Ling of Han
Ada Nguyen
Sean Hannity
Tronald Dump, his counterpart in the Mirror Universe
Salvador Allende
James Dewey Watson
Laura Gao
Claire Wang
Eren Yeager
@ButtocksCocktoasten
Jiang Zemin
Rorschach
Wario
goth600
Any child of Trump (randomly selected)
Petyr Baelish / Littlefinger
Elagabalus
Lex Luthor
A well meaning person with severe short term memory issues causing them to wake up every day not realizing that they are the President
Light Yagami
A prostitute from the alleged Trump pee tape
Neville Chamberlain
Bad Bunny
Rod Blagojevich
Brian Chau (@psychosort)
Chris Brown
Richard Watterson (from Gumball)
Hans Niemann
Silvio Berlusconi
Timothy Leary
John Edwards
George Floyd
Hunter Biden
Razib Khan
Violent Jay and Shaggy 2 Dope (as co-presidents)
A randomly picked Muslim citizen of the US
Biden, but as a worm (i.e., Would you still vote for Biden if he was a worm?)
Kim Dotcom
Waluigi
Deng Xiaoping
Empress Dowager Cixi
Brian Tomasik
Your mom
THEAMAZINGATHEIST
Richard Hanania
A random citizen of slightly below average intelligence who drinks 1 beer a day and has no high school diploma
Chuck Norris
You (Are you really willing to take on the responsibilities of the presidency yourself to avoid giving them to Trump?)
Stan Smith
Ray Shaun Elussy
Lucille Bluth
Michael Vassar
An automated veto stamp (vetoes everything put in front of it, incapable of public speaking)
Santa Claus
Kristi Noem's dog
Moses (Bible)
Yourself right now
Justin Trudeau
Elizabeth Holmes
Eminem
A random citizen of average intelligence who drinks three beers a day and has a highschool diploma
Futarchy (Manifold users)
Nicky Case
Robespierre
Yourself from 15 years ago
Greta Thunberg
Their child, who has become a juggalo, a furry, and a brony
@strutheo :)
Bill Gates
Gavin Newsom
Hillary Clinton
Walter White
Chat GPT
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Destiny
George Soros
Bill Cosby
Ellen DeGeneres
Harvey Weinstein
Kamala Harris
Ron DeSantis
A can of beans
George W. Bush
Richard Nixon
Jeremy Corbyn
Joe Biden
Julius Caesar
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Benjamin Netanyahu
Yasser Arafat
Shinzo Abe
Gus Fring
Frank Underwood
Mr Burns
Mr Krabs
Peter Griffin
Homer Simpson
Hank Hill
Cruella De Vil
Senator Armstrong (Metal Gear Rising)
Ibram X. Kendi
Rachel Dolezal
Nayib Bukele
Ayn Rand
Barack Obama
Young Sheldon
Tony Soprano
Patrick Bateman (American Psycho)
Dr Robotnik / Eggman
Vivek Ramaswamy
Taylor Swift
Joe Rogan
Javier Milei
Emmanuel Macron
Doctor Manhattan
Bill Clinton
Donkey Kong
Rudy Giuliani
An autopen (signs everything put in front of it, incapable of public speaking)
Sam Bankman-Fried
Cedric the Entertainer
Glenn Quagmire
Scott Adams (Dilbert cartoonist)
Gollum/Smeagol
Matthew Yglesias
Vaush
Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas
Donald Trump Jr
Napoleon Bonaparte
Jordan Peterson
Scar (lion king)
Margaret Thatcher
Andrew Johnson
Bill Ackman
Bernie Madoff
Jussie Smollet
Avon Barksdale
Yann Lecun
The nominee of the Leopards Eating People's Faces Party
Elon Musk
Paul Atreides
Cenk Uygur
Georgia Meloni
Boris Johnson
Trump from the 80s-90s
Shirley Temple
Mark Rutte
Michael Jackson
James (manifold)
Austin (manifold)
George Washington
Zaphod Beeblebrox
Mr Garrison (South Park)
Lee Pace
Muhammad the prophet
Jose Luis Ricon
BasedBeffJezos
Mike Pence
Nate Silver
Shai-Hulud (sandworms from Dune)
Confucius
hari seldon
Teddy Roosevelt
Franklin Delano Roosevelt
Angela Merkel
Jacinda Ardern
shaq
elvis
random manifold user
abe lincoln
bruce springsteen
billy joel
Rishi Sunak
Scott Alexander's Presidential Platform https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/my-presidential-platform
buddha
satoshi nakamoto
A citizen of above average intelligence with a college degree, but the Secret Service will stop at nothing to ensure they are crossfaded (drunk + high) at all times
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
98
97
96
94
94
92
92
92
91
91
90
88
88
87
86
85
84
84
82
81
76
74
74
73
72
71
69
69
68
67
66
66
65
63
61
60
59
58
58
55
55
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
47
46
45
45
45
44
44
44
43
43
43
43
43
43
43
43
42
42
42
41
41
41
41
41
41
40
40
40
40
40
39
39
39
39
38
38
37
37
37
37
35
35
35
34
33
33
33
33
33
33
33
32
32
32
30
29
29
29
29
28
28
27
27
27
27
26
26
25
25
25
24
24
24
23
23
23
22
22
22
22
21
21
21
21
20
20
20
19
19
19
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
17
16
16
15
15
14
14
13
13
12
12
12
11
10
9
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
4
3
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
A driver gets permanently replaced during the season
A driver misses a race due to health reasons
McLaren wins the WCC
Isack Hadjar gets to drive a grand prix
A team principle gets replaced during the season
Liam Lawson replaced before Abu Dhabi
Norris and Piastri collide and at least one of them DNFs due to the collision
Lance Stroll drives Canada feature race
Lance Stroll drives more than half the remaining races after Barcelona
Going into the last race three drivers can win the WDC
Isack Hadjar scores more points than Yuki Tsunoda
Max Verstappen wins the WDC
Leclerc and Hamilton collide and at least one of them DNFs due to the collision
Paul Aron gets to drive a grand prix
Mohammed Ben Sulayem steps down as head of FIA
Hamilton gets a podium finish
Christian Horner signed for a leadership role at Haas
Flavio Briatore out at Alpine
Max Verstappen receives a race ban due to penalty points
A driver has to sit out at least one race due to swearing
Gabriel Bortoleto scores more points than Nico Hülkenberg
Lewis Hamilton wins a (non sprint) race
Franco Colapinto replaced by another driver before the end of the season
Oliver Bearman receives as race ban
Perez drives the entire season at RBR
The top three drivers in the WDC will be from three different teams
Max Verstappen skips at least one race related to birth of his child
RB finishes ahead of RBR in WCC
Ferrari finishes 2nd in the WCC
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
16
14
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
NO
YES
3422
3106
OptionProbability
Abu Mohammad al-Julani
Other
Mouaffaq Nyrabia
Randa Kassis
Anas al-Abdah
Moaz al-Khatib
90
8
1
1
1
0
OptionProbability
Andrew Tate
J.B. Smoove
Freddie Gibbs
Nick Cannon
Hopsin
Kanye West
Floyd Joy Mayweather Jr.
Pewdiepie
Jay-Z
LeBron James
The 46th President of the United Dawlat of America, Emir Yusuf abu Hunter al-Bidan (peace be upon him)
Cr1TiKaL
Earl Sweatshirt
Michael B Jordan
Lil Nas X
Mark Zuckerberg
Method Man
Idris Elba
Liam Neeson
Ice Spice
Snoop Dogg
Tyler the Creator
Frank Ocean
@strutheo
Curtis Yarvin
50 Cent
Chuck Norris
Johnny Depp
Aella
Taylor Swift
Jon Stewart
Joe Biden
Vladimir Putin
Sam Altman
Larry David
Donald Trump
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Benjamin Netanyahu
Pope Francis
Jimmy Carter
100
40
40
40
39
28
28
20
19
19
19
16
15
15
14
13
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
9
7
6
6
6
6
5
5
3
3
2
0
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
14865
6727
OptionProbability
Max Verstappen
Lando Norris
Oscar Piastri
George Russell
Other
56
31
6
4
3
OptionProbability
Will Leclerc beat Hamilton?
Will Verstappen beat Tsunoda?
Will Alonso beat Stroll?
Will Russell beat Antonelli?
Will Hadjar beat Lawson?
Will Bortoleto beat Hülkenberg?
Will Norris beat Piastri?
Will Ocon beat Bearman?
Will Gasly beat Colapinto?
Will Albon beat Sainz?
84
84
82
74
72
69
66
66
59
28
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1201
832
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1325
770
OptionProbability
Other
50
