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AGI House News
Prediction markets for AGI House
Prediction markets for AGI House
Gary Marcus prediction: physical reasoning of AI systems will improve before psychological reasoning
Jan 23, 8:50 PM
Jan 1, 6:00 AM
28.51%
chance
36
3775
Option
Votes
NO
YES
987
974
Will Saurabh ever move to SF?
Jul 18, 11:16 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
77.92%
chance
4
2007
Option
Votes
NO
YES
188
53
Will Avraham Eisenberg be freed from incarceration before the development of AGI?
Jan 7, 5:04 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
17.89%
chance
15
1304
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1541
705
Will we achieve AGI before Democrats win their next trifecta?
Sep 14, 10:09 PM
Sep 22, 4:59 AM
68.32%
chance
8
245
Option
Votes
NO
YES
147
68
Will JD Vance visit AGI house in 2025?
Nov 11, 6:46 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
12.89%
chance
3
160
Option
Votes
YES
NO
260
38
Will the swimming pool at AGI House close due to AIDS
Jan 22, 11:50 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
30.7%
chance
3
32
Option
Votes
YES
NO
118
72
Will AGI House expand to Toronto or Waterloo by EOY 2027
May 11, 12:22 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
37.49%
chance
2
30
Option
Votes
YES
NO
129
77
Will AGI House get a furby by eoy2029
Sep 16, 8:09 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
Do you agree with the attached article's argument on job loss and AI?
Apr 7, 12:55 PM
31
0
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