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Prediction markets for Airports

Will the switch from 100LL (leaded aviation gas) to 100UL (unleaded aviation gas) cause small airports to become a thing of the past due to a lack of sufficient revenue?

Nov 18, 8:32 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

77.35%chance

113705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

973

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from SFO airport pickup/dropoff/terminal area by the end of 2026?

Sep 17, 8:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.24%chance

182595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

Will Dulles International Airport be renamed to include Trump by the end of 2028?

Apr 2, 6:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.01%chance

252269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1448

909

Long Thanh airport becomes a national embarrassment for Vietnam?

Apr 25, 6:51 AMMay 2, 6:48 AM

27.79%chance

111598

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1612

620

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 10:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.6%chance

71088

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1012

988

Will there be a Bin Laden International Airport, before 2030?

Sep 11, 5:44 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

4.31%chance

12979

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1448

945

Will CBP refuse to process international arrivals at any major US airport in 2026?

May 29, 12:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.78%chance

3400

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1400

714

If there is a complete societal breakdown in the United States, will I make it to the airport before I am murdered?

Oct 29, 10:05 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

62.29%chance

10265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

109

South Korea: Will Gadeok Island New Airport open before 2030?

Apr 23, 1:02 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM

28.14%chance

6249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1219

888

How many passengers will pass through London Luton airport in 2029?

Sep 22, 2:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

150

OptionProbability

10,000,000 - 12,499,999

12,500,000 - 14,999,999

15,000,000 - 17,499,999

17,500,000 - 20,000,000

Above 20,000,000

Below 10,000,000

18

18

18

18

18

8

How many passengers will pass through London Luton airport in 2028?

Sep 22, 2:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

125

OptionProbability

10,000,000 - 12,499,999

12,500,000 - 14,999,999

15,000,000 - 17,499,999

17,500,000 - 20,000,000

Above 20,000,000

Below 10,000,000

18

18

18

18

18

11

Will the Boston silver line from airport ever stop being free by 2035

Jul 31, 9:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.64%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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