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Prediction markets for Airports

Will the switch from 100LL (leaded aviation gas) to 100UL (unleaded aviation gas) cause small airports to become a thing of the past due to a lack of sufficient revenue?

Nov 18, 8:32 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

77.35%chance

113705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

973

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from SFO airport pickup/dropoff/terminal area by the end of 2026?

Sep 17, 8:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.06%chance

172343

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

941

Will Dulles International Airport be renamed to include Trump by the end of 2028?

Apr 2, 6:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.54%chance

252169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1547

902

Will there be a Bin Laden International Airport, before 2030?

Sep 11, 5:44 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

4.31%chance

12979

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1448

945

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 10:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.22%chance

6830

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1299

770

South Korea: Will Gadeok Island New Airport open before 2030?

Apr 23, 1:02 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM

28.04%chance

6245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1223

886

Will Schipol airport stop working due to snow again before end of February?

Jan 9, 11:11 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

9.76%chance

4238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

304

33

Will Andorra get an airport within their borders by the end of 2028?

Jul 27, 5:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.8%chance

10227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

78

Poland: Will CPK Airport be finished before 2030?

Feb 10, 2:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8.45%chance

4213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

323

59

How many passengers will pass through London Luton airport in 2029?

Sep 22, 2:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

150

OptionProbability

10,000,000 - 12,499,999

12,500,000 - 14,999,999

15,000,000 - 17,499,999

17,500,000 - 20,000,000

Above 20,000,000

Below 10,000,000

18

18

18

18

18

8

How many passengers will pass through London Luton airport in 2026?

Sep 22, 2:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

231

OptionProbability

15,000,000 - 17,499,999

17,500,000 - 20,000,000

10,000,000 - 12,499,999

12,500,000 - 14,999,999

Above 20,000,000

Below 10,000,000

21

21

16

16

16

10

How many passengers will pass through London Luton airport in 2027?

Sep 22, 2:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

125

OptionProbability

10,000,000 - 12,499,999

12,500,000 - 14,999,999

15,000,000 - 17,499,999

17,500,000 - 20,000,000

Above 20,000,000

Below 10,000,000

18

18

18

18

18

11

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