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Prediction markets for Albany

Will Israel invade Bosnia & Herzegovina, Albania, Kosovo, or Croatia in 2032?

Feb 7, 4:14 PMFeb 19, 2:30 AM

8856

OptionProbability

Other

Albania

Kosovo

Croatia

Bosnia & Herzegovina

86

4

4

4

3

Will Albania formally recognize a Bektashi microstate within its borders by the end of 2025?

Sep 21, 4:06 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

58.3%chance

4829

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

85

Will SotA on PaperBench (Code-Dev) surpass 75% in 2025?

Apr 7, 1:59 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

40%chance

9755

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5735

4626

Will Albania be successful in entering European Union due to Using OpenAI tools?

Mar 7, 12:06 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

13.18%chance

15536

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1336

895

Will Albania join the EU by the end of 2025?

Sep 26, 12:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.32%chance

5440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

540

19

What will be the best score (5/5 reliability) on ZeroBench by December 31st 2025?

Mar 2, 6:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4439

OptionProbability

0 - 10

11 - 20

21 - 30

91 - 100

31 - 40

41 - 50

51 - 60

61 - 70

71 - 80

81 - 90

45

19

5

5

4

4

4

4

4

4

Will any AI model score above 95% on GRAB by the end of 2025?

Mar 31, 8:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.49%chance

9186

OptionVotes

NO

YES

646

509

Will SotA on SWE-Lancer (Diamond) reach 400K USD (80%) in 2025?

Apr 7, 2:51 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

49.79%chance

424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5014

4986

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