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Prediction markets for Alphabet

Will Navier-Stokes be solved with the help of Google or Alphabet scientists by the end of 2027?

Sep 24, 1:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.65%chance

12065765

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13627

10590

Will Alphabet divest from Anthropic by EOY?

Feb 28, 10:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.82%chance

203076

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2536

473

Alphabet most valuable company at end of March?

Feb 6, 9:00 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

1%chance

141595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1303

53

Will regulators force a split in Alphabet before 2030?

Jul 19, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.18%chance

281393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1147

928

US Software Engineer Union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by end of 2026?

Sep 23, 6:16 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

22.57%chance

221335

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1227

912

Will the Alphabet and Microsoft market cap differ by at least a factor of 3 in 2030?

Feb 17, 3:00 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

33.81%chance

311250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1356

711

Will Alphabet spin off Waymo by the end of 2026?

Sep 18, 1:22 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.32%chance

101050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2044

489

Will Sundar Pichai cease to be CEO of Alphabet before 2030?

Nov 1, 8:22 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

84.26%chance

15779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

975

958

Which of NVIDIA, Alphabet, Apple, and Microsoft will have the largest market cap at 2026 EOY?

Jan 4, 1:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13517

OptionProbability

NVIDIA

Apple

Alphabet

Microsoft

74

11

11

4

Will Sundar Pichai be the CEO of Alphabet on January 1st 2027?

May 27, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.7%chance

8151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

192

52

Alphabet Inc. Class A (GOOGL)

Apr 6, 1:17 AMApr 6, 3:59 AM

333

OptionProbability

NO

YES

83

58

Will Alphabet Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 2.0

2.0 - 2.5

2.5 - 3.0

3.0 - 3.5

3.5-4.0

Above 4.0

17

17

17

17

17

17

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