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Top stories

German Business Outlook Improves While Consumer Confidence Slides Again

Authors

8

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Alps

Will Navier-Stokes be solved with the help of Google or Alphabet scientists by the end of 2027?

Sep 24, 1:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.66%chance

11353232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11422

7857

Will a drug designed with significant contribution from an AlphaFold-like system pass a Phase I trial by end of 2025?

Sep 6, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.79%chance

5810091

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2309

433

If I infect myself with Alpha-Gal syndrome, will I regret it 6 months later?

Dec 2, 4:27 AMJan 2, 5:04 AM

88.19%chance

639539

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2732

366

Will Alphabet Shutter Google Keep By December 31st, 2025?

Nov 27, 12:34 AMJan 9, 6:59 AM

6.36%chance

568513

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4931

442

Alphabet (GOOG) market cap exceeds Apple (AAPL) market cap before March 1, 2026

Sep 10, 10:50 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

71.17%chance

124495

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1571

636

Will the first AI to get IMO gold cite AlphaZero?

Dec 11, 6:03 AMNov 11, 11:59 PM

63.47%chance

191636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

604

US Software Engineer Union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by end of 2026?

Sep 23, 6:16 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

23.81%chance

201275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1167

930

DeepSeek V3.2 wins Alpha Arena Season 1.5

Nov 11, 1:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.21%chance

111124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1327

753

Nick Adams (Alpha Male) confirmed as ambassador to Malaysia this year?

Jul 10, 3:51 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

10830

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Alphafold involved in a SOTA C02 direct air capture method by mid 2026 ?

Jun 2, 8:33 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

35.58%chance

5475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1345

743

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show a[n implied] drop in Gen Alpha afab non-cis rates, from 2025, in 2035?

Nov 18, 5:06 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

4105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?

Nov 18, 4:35 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

2105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

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