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Top stories

Nature Study Says Antarctic Ice Decline Nears Irreversible Tipping Point

Nature Study Says Antarctic Ice Decline Nears Irreversible Tipping Point

Authors

16

1 year ago

Tourist Surge Leaves Antarctic Snow 10-Times Dirtier, Study Finds

Tourist Surge Leaves Antarctic Snow 10-Times Dirtier, Study Finds

Authors

15

1 year ago

7.5-Magnitude Earthquake Hits Drake Passage; Tsunami Alert Issued and Canceled, Evacuations in Chile, Aftershocks Reported

Natural Disasters

7.5-Magnitude Earthquake Hits Drake Passage; Tsunami Alert Issued and Canceled, Evacuations in Chile, Aftershocks Reported

Authors

36

1 year ago

British Meteorologist Dennis Bell, 25, Found on King George Island Glacier After 66 Years, Confirmed by British Antarctic Survey

Authors

28

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Antarctica

Will there be an active war over Antarctica before 2100 with at least 10 casualties?

Aug 6, 4:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

49%chance

483506

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

790

Will Antarctica be connected to high-speed fiber optic cable by the end of 2026?

Jun 12, 6:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.83%chance

223240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3430

292

Will there be a permanent population in Antarctica before a semipermanent population on the moon?

Jan 23, 10:17 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

62.5%chance

362837

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

876

Will a previously unknown civilization be discovered in Antarctica by 2027?

Dec 16, 1:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3.03%chance

212421

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2616

879

Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2030?

Aug 8, 1:39 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

9.54%chance

332387

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1153

944

Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2050?

Aug 9, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.63%chance

412228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1281

881

By 2050, will humans pump significant quantities of ocean water onto Antarctica to reduce sea levels?

Mar 24, 1:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.48%chance

181134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1849

831

Will any country start mining in Antarctica by 2050?

Aug 14, 1:35 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

74.24%chance

19739

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

969

Will the USA make a territorial claim in Antarctica, before 2030?

Sep 11, 6:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

19.94%chance

13488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1305

898

How many people will have been born in Antarctica at the end of 2032?

Jun 28, 1:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5257

OptionProbability

11

12

13

14

15

16 or more

50

18

11

9

7

5

Antarctica cruise leading to oil spill? Before 2030

Sep 12, 11:32 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

14.78%chance

6218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

45

Will Russia make a territorial claim in Antarctica, before 2030?

Sep 11, 6:18 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

22.81%chance

14212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1103

952

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