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Prediction markets for Apple

Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?

Dec 20, 2:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27%chance

213228252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1646

609

Binding agreement of acquisition or merger between Apple and AI company before Q3 2026

Aug 2, 4:38 AMJul 1, 11:59 PM

45110455

OptionProbability

Perplexity

Cohere

Mistral

Hugging Face

Thinking Machines Lab

Anthropic

9

7

6

5

4

2

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

87%chance

31987996

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14424

4861

Someone dies wearing Apple Vision Pro

Jan 23, 3:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.31%chance

24643738

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2958

600

Apple releases a touchscreen Macbook by the end of 2026?

Dec 9, 3:20 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

50.73%chance

11913603

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2245

1438

Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?

Aug 13, 3:26 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

5.96%chance

16513158

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6044

736

Will the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?

Jun 6, 12:13 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

23.98%chance

807018

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3197

598

Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft OR Nvidia?

Mar 16, 9:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.07%chance

493498

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3128

1421

Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple?

Mar 18, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.79%chance

272778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2774

1753

Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft?

Mar 16, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

44.25%chance

401536

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2044

1950

Will the first $10 Trillion company be a company other than Apple or Microsoft?

Mar 16, 9:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.89%chance

281242

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2186

1847

Will Apple Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 0.6

0.06 - 0.07

0.07 - 0.08

0.08 - 0.09

0.09 - 0.10

Above 0.10

17

17

17

17

17

17

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