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Prediction markets for Apple

Someone dies wearing Apple Vision Pro

Jan 23, 3:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.23%chance

24543232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2581

762

Binding agreement of acquisition or merger between Apple and AI company before Q3 2026

Aug 2, 4:38 AMJul 1, 11:59 PM

3728507

OptionProbability

Perplexity

Mistral

Cohere

Hugging Face

Thinking Machines Lab

Anthropic

31

19

17

13

8

7

Apple announces AI company purchase for over $500m by end of 2025

Jan 3, 3:01 AMJan 1, 1:00 AM

45.38%chance

18228003

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6107

3622

Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?

Aug 13, 3:26 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

16.67%chance

1589715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2834

1089

Will apple announce a MacBook with a foldable display by EOY 2025?

May 24, 5:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.2%chance

417313

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7940

238

Will Apple face any non-monetary consequences in United States of America v. Apple Inc.?

Mar 21, 3:05 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

28%chance

725757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1909

367

Will the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?

Jun 6, 12:13 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

54.13%chance

795708

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1957

1369

Will Apple release a MacBook with LLM integration built in, by 2025 end?

Apr 1, 6:10 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

88.51%chance

454722

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3524

530

Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft OR Nvidia?

Mar 16, 9:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

83.62%chance

443317

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3650

1306

Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple?

Mar 18, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.05%chance

251968

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1989

1964

Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft?

Mar 16, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.89%chance

351202

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2122

1846

Will the first $10 Trillion company be a company other than Apple or Microsoft?

Mar 16, 9:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.66%chance

25918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2109

1862

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