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Prediction markets for Apple

Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?

Dec 20, 2:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43%chance

281378539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1153

869

Binding agreement of acquisition or merger between Apple and AI company before Q3 2026

Aug 2, 4:38 AMJul 1, 11:59 PM

54200436

OptionProbability

Perplexity

Mistral

Hugging Face

Cohere

Thinking Machines Lab

Anthropic

2

2

2

2

2

1

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

90%chance

32794264

OptionVotes

NO

YES

17704

4439

Someone dies wearing Apple Vision Pro

Jan 23, 3:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25%chance

24743778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3033

574

Apple releases a touchscreen Macbook by the end of 2026?

Dec 9, 3:20 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

49.66%chance

12213742

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2282

1401

Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?

Aug 13, 3:26 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

5.84%chance

16713246

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6132

730

Will the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?

Jun 6, 12:13 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

20.49%chance

817268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3447

526

Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft OR Nvidia?

Mar 16, 9:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.47%chance

493548

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2936

1471

Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple?

Mar 18, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.79%chance

272778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2774

1753

Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft?

Mar 16, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

44.25%chance

401536

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2044

1950

Will the first $10 Trillion company be a company other than Apple or Microsoft?

Mar 16, 9:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.52%chance

281297

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2269

1792

Will Apple Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 0.6

0.06 - 0.07

0.07 - 0.08

0.08 - 0.09

0.09 - 0.10

Above 0.10

17

17

17

17

17

17

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