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Prediction markets for Arctic Ocean

(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?

Sep 11, 9:11 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

47.82%chance

7020039

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7145

4676

Will the arctic be ice-free for any period of time ("blue ocean event") before summer 2026?

Aug 15, 12:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.44%chance

213146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3055

812

Will there be an Arctic Blue Ocean Event by 2030?

Feb 6, 7:07 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

14.02%chance

121192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

407

106

Which European countries will deploy naval vessels to the Pacific in 2024 and/or 2025?

Jan 17, 9:12 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

658

OptionProbability

Russia

UK

France

Italy

Germany

Spain

Poland

Netherlands

Norway

Greece

Denmark

Portugal

Turkey

Belgium

100

100

100

100

64

60

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

24

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