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Prediction markets for ATLAS
Will there be an Atlas V launch failure before retirement?
Jun 11, 2:20 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
25.31%chance
1413637
OptionVotes
8747
3304
Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030?
Dec 22, 1:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.83%chance
578939
OptionVotes
1455
514
UNEXCITEMENT ATLAS: Which US States will NOT declare a state of emergency in 2025? [ ADD STATES ]
Jan 15, 10:05 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
204925
OptionProbability
76
71
70
69
66
66
52
50
50
49
42
36
35
34
34
34
27
20
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will one of the July 2023 Atlas Fellows Become A billionaire by the age of 30?
Jul 31, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5.92%chance
131403
OptionVotes
1605
899
OptionVotes
997
972
When will Boston Dynamics start selling their new Atlas humanoid robot to customers?
Apr 19, 11:39 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
141227
OptionProbability
36
18
14
12
12
7
By the year 2040, will the US military integrate a bipedal humanoid robot, similar to Boston Dynamics' Atlas, into its arsenal?
Feb 24, 1:29 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
70.75%chance
37866
OptionVotes
1180
894
Will any of the Atlas Fellows have a family/babies by EOY 2027?
Feb 3, 7:09 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
89.51%chance
5267
OptionVotes
254
67
Will 2022 Atlas Fellows launch startups worth >$300 million by the end of 2025?
May 18, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
47.56%chance
250
OptionVotes
1050
952
Will Alexey guzey have a relationship with a thiel fellow, Atlas fellow, TKS'er, cockatoo, repligate, or Rochelle?
Jul 6, 5:14 PMJul 8, 3:59 AM
39.31%chance
125
OptionVotes
124
80
Will a comprehensive proteomic atlas be made of any parrot or cockatoo species by 2027?
Mar 19, 11:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
52.19%chance
215
OptionVotes
95
85
Will a transcriptomic and spatial cell-type atlas be created out of a parrot/bird species by EOY 2030?
Jan 11, 4:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
59.02%chance
110
OptionVotes
80
62