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Top stories

NWS Warns of Flash Floods in Imperial County Amid Broader Southwest Storms

Natural Disasters

NWS Warns of Flash Floods in Imperial County Amid Broader Southwest Storms

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Banning Pass

Will the Ban Superintelligence Act pass by the end of 2027?

Sep 3, 4:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.14%chance

297531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3154

317

Will any US state pass legislation banning any form of commonly-used gender-affirming medical care for adults before 2030?

Nov 15, 10:11 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

81.93%chance

636318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1575

790

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Jan 15, 11:48 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

1.47%chance

152125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2132

70

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a near total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Jan 15, 11:47 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

2.24%chance

111433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1280

46

Which US states will pass a phone ban in schools by 2029?

Jun 7, 10:51 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11960

OptionProbability

California

Virginia

New York

Kentucky

Oklahoma

100

62

58

56

43

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 6 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Jan 15, 11:45 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

6.31%chance

14632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

669

60

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 15 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Jan 15, 11:43 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

12.17%chance

13522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

283

50

Will Congress pass a law banning the sale of non-hybrid Gas Powered cars to average consumers by the end of 2030?

Jun 18, 5:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.37%chance

3341

OptionVotes

YES

NO

235

43

Will California pass an EU-like ban on single-use plastics by 2026?

Jan 28, 7:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.13%chance

9299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

242

78

Will any USA State pass a law banning the sale of non-hybrid Gas Powered cars to average consumers by the end of 2030?

Jun 18, 5:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.48%chance

5135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

Will Congress pass a law banning the sale of non-hybrid Gas Powered cars to average consumers by the end of 2040?

Jun 18, 5:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.07%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

Will Congress pass a law banning the sale of Human Driven cars to the average consumer by the end of 2040?

Jun 18, 5:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.26%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

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