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Prediction markets for BART

Will BART achieve avg weekday ridership >500,000 in any month before 2026

Nov 9, 5:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.2%chance

123648

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4339

478

Will Very Tall Bart make a YTP about Switzerland in 2026?

Mar 26, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.02%chance

22648

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

75

Bart Ehrman Will Convert to Esoteric/Gnostic Christianity before 2030?

Sep 30, 6:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

9.71%chance

32050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3050

328

When will the government led by Bart De Wever end?

Mar 28, 2:57 PMJun 9, 10:00 PM

2492

OptionProbability

Before National Elections (May or June 2029)

Before January 2029

Before July 2027

Before January 2028

Before July 2028

Before January 2027

Before July 2026

83

51

18

18

18

3

2

Will BART close multiple stations in 2027?

Mar 11, 5:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.48%chance

7420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

808

How old will Cimorene be when she's able to travel to a BART station unsupervised?

Feb 11, 7:56 AMNov 10, 12:59 AM

34.29%chance

14248

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1036

921

Will Bart Kay be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 2, 7:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.48%chance

7202

OptionVotes

YES

NO

320

114

Will the new BART Transbay tube be completed by 2040

Jan 6, 6:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.44%chance

5131

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

97

Will the BART station at San Jose Diridon be in service on December 1, 2030?

Jan 9, 8:54 PMDec 2, 7:59 AM

20.82%chance

395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

51

Will BART trains (all lines) have no staff onboard by 2035?

May 20, 12:41 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

33.12%chance

580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

Will MBTA trains on the Boston red line finally have PM2.5 levels lower than 10 ug/m^3 (like BART trains) by EOY 2027?

Jan 22, 11:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.27%chance

118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

56

45

Will the 19th Oakland Bart station inside reduce its avg pm2.5 levels to below 13 by eoy2028

Nov 16, 9:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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