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Prediction markets for BART

Will BART achieve avg weekday ridership >500,000 in any month before 2026

Nov 9, 5:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.2%chance

123648

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4339

478

Bart Ehrman Will Convert to Esoteric/Gnostic Christianity before 2030?

Sep 30, 6:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

13.33%chance

21550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2550

392

Will BART close multiple stations in 2027?

Mar 11, 5:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.48%chance

7420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

808

How old will Cimorene be when she's able to travel to a BART station unsupervised?

Feb 11, 7:56 AMNov 10, 12:59 AM

34.29%chance

14248

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1036

921

Will Bart Kay be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 2, 7:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.48%chance

7202

OptionVotes

YES

NO

320

114

Will James Koppel, Barton Rhodes, yoyo,Amit Deshwar, Rochelle shen, Geffen avraham, sigfig, Jacob Cole LAN party b4 2030

Sep 21, 4:41 PMSep 29, 3:59 AM

10%chance

1200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

33

Will the new BART Transbay tube be completed by 2040

Jan 6, 6:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.44%chance

5131

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

97

Will the BART station at San Jose Diridon be in service on December 1, 2030?

Jan 9, 8:54 PMDec 2, 7:59 AM

20.82%chance

395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

51

Will BART trains (all lines) have no staff onboard by 2035?

May 20, 12:41 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

33.12%chance

580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

Will Barton Rhodes and Kliment Serafimov hang out by EOY2028?

Mar 16, 3:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.75%chance

254

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Will MBTA trains on the Boston red line finally have PM2.5 levels lower than 10 ug/m^3 (like BART trains) by EOY 2027?

Jan 22, 11:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.27%chance

118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

56

45

Will the 19th Oakland Bart station inside reduce its avg pm2.5 levels to below 13 by eoy2028

Nov 16, 9:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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