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Prediction markets for Berkeley
When will I be able to call a Waymo to get from the Oakland airport to Berkeley's campus?
Sep 25, 12:20 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
299237
OptionProbability
43
35
6
5
5
1
1
1
1
1
Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?
Jan 13, 5:42 PMJan 13, 7:59 AM
11.22%chance
263936
OptionVotes
1923
768
Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?
Feb 21, 4:21 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM
1%chance
81567
OptionVotes
1002
10
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2028, according to Berkeley Earth?
Jan 13, 4:01 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM
75.3%chance
221554
OptionVotes
1022
975
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Jan 13, 4:00 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM
77.31%chance
161506
OptionVotes
1039
974
Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Feb 21, 4:23 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM
4.27%chance
121349
OptionVotes
473
21
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?
Jan 13, 4:02 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM
76.85%chance
211202
OptionVotes
1047
711
When will I be able to call a Waymo to get from San Francisco to Lighthaven in Berkeley?
Feb 22, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
101107
OptionProbability
21
19
17
13
7
5
5
4
4
2
1
1
1
Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2028, according to Berkeley Earth?
Feb 21, 4:23 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM
4.6%chance
71062
OptionVotes
455
22
Will I be able to book an Autonomous Ride from Berkeley to SFO for less than $30, in 2027?
Aug 23, 12:51 AMJan 31, 7:59 AM
29.96%chance
14705
OptionVotes
1046
854
OptionVotes
466
21
Will BASIS (the Berkeley ai safety club) still exist in 2030?
Feb 17, 7:25 AMAug 24, 6:59 AM
64.11%chance
472
OptionVotes
134
75