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Prediction markets for Berks

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 5:42 PMJan 13, 7:59 AM

11.22%chance

263936

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1923

768

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?

Feb 21, 4:21 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM

1%chance

81567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

10

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2028, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 4:01 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

75.3%chance

221554

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

975

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 4:00 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

75.78%chance

141441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

994

974

Will Berkshire Hathaway stock rise on the news of Warren Buffet’s death (go up on the next /current trading day)

Jan 15, 1:27 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

21.81%chance

251285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

913

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

Feb 21, 4:23 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM

2.94%chance

121248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

575

17

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 4:02 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

79.43%chance

211107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

806

Major Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary becomes independent corporation before 2027

Oct 9, 1:04 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

5.63%chance

101087

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1541

900

What will Berkshire Hathaway (Warren Buffett) decide to do regarding its cash position [$157.24 B] until EOY 2025?

Feb 23, 11:46 AMApr 1, 9:59 PM

10946

OptionProbability

> 10% increase [> ~ $172.96B]

stays about the same within ±10% [> ~ $141.52 B; < ~ $172.96B]

> 10% decrease [< ~ $141.52 B]

95

3

2

Will it be proven that Berkshire Hathaway was committing enormous systematic fraud by 2033?

Jan 18, 5:14 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

4.25%chance

12812

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1534

940

Will I be able to book an Autonomous Ride from Berkeley to SFO for less than $30, in 2027?

Aug 23, 12:51 AMJan 31, 7:59 AM

29.96%chance

14705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

854

Will Warren Buffett (CEO of Berkshire Hathaway) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 15, 1:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.05%chance

3260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

370

68

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