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Prediction markets for Berks

When will Warren Buffett stop being Berkshire Hathaway's chief executive officer?

Aug 31, 2:20 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

2411396

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2023

2024

Other

98

1

0

0

0

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 5:42 PMJan 13, 7:59 AM

11.22%chance

263936

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1923

768

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2028, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 4:01 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

75.3%chance

221554

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

975

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 4:00 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

75.78%chance

141441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

994

974

Will Berkshire Hathaway stock rise on the news of Warren Buffet’s death (go up on the next /current trading day)

Jan 15, 1:27 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

21.81%chance

251285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

913

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

Feb 21, 4:23 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM

2.94%chance

121248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

575

17

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 4:02 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

79.43%chance

211107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

806

When will I be able to call a Waymo to get from San Francisco to Lighthaven in Berkeley?

Feb 22, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

101107

OptionProbability

Q1 2027

Q4 2026

Q3 2026

Q2 2027

Other

Q2 2026

Q3 2027

Q1 2026

Q4 2027

Q3 2025

Q1 2025

Q2 2025

Q4 2025

21

19

17

13

7

5

5

4

4

2

1

1

1

Major Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary becomes independent corporation before 2027

Oct 9, 1:04 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

5.63%chance

101087

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1541

900

Will it be proven that Berkshire Hathaway was committing enormous systematic fraud by 2033?

Jan 18, 5:14 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

4.25%chance

12812

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1534

940

How much will Berkshire Hathaway stock change from the day before Warren Buffett dies to the day after he dies?

Apr 2, 12:54 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

12768

OptionProbability

-5% to -0.01%

0% to +4.99%

-10% to -4.99%

+5% to +9.99%

-15% to -9.99%

+10% or more

-15.01% or more

46

29

14

5

3

2

2

Will I be able to book an Autonomous Ride from Berkeley to SFO for less than $30, in 2027?

Aug 23, 12:51 AMJan 31, 7:59 AM

29.96%chance

14705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

854

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