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Prediction markets for Berks

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 5:42 PMJan 13, 7:59 AM

10.66%chance

274022

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2009

758

When will I be able to call a Waymo to get from San Francisco to Lighthaven in Berkeley?

Feb 22, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

181842

OptionProbability

Other

Q2 2027

Q1 2027

Q3 2027

Q4 2027

Q4 2026

Q3 2026

Q1 2025

Q2 2025

Q3 2025

Q4 2025

Q1 2026

Q2 2026

64

7

6

6

6

5

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 4:00 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

75.32%chance

171826

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1000

955

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2028, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 4:01 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

75.3%chance

221554

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

975

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

Feb 21, 4:23 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM

4.27%chance

121349

OptionVotes

YES

NO

473

21

Will Berkshire Hathaway stock rise on the news of Warren Buffet’s death (go up on the next /current trading day)

Jan 15, 1:27 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

21.81%chance

251285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

913

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 4:02 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

76.85%chance

211202

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1047

711

Major Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary becomes independent corporation before 2027

Oct 9, 1:04 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

5.63%chance

101087

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1541

900

Will it be proven that Berkshire Hathaway was committing enormous systematic fraud by 2033?

Jan 18, 5:14 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

4.27%chance

12817

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1530

941

Will I be able to book an Autonomous Ride from Berkeley to SFO for less than $30, in 2027?

Aug 23, 12:51 AMJan 31, 7:59 AM

29.96%chance

14705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

854

Will Warren Buffett (CEO of Berkshire Hathaway) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 15, 1:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.05%chance

3260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

370

68

Will Berkshire Hathaway outperform S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Jul 2, 11:57 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

79.78%chance

11235

OptionVotes

NO

YES

199

50

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