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Top stories

Switzerland Offers Putin Immunity for Geneva Ukraine Peace Talks

Switzerland Offers Putin Immunity for Geneva Ukraine Peace Talks

Authors

38

1 year ago

Swiss Post Halts U.S. Shipments as Bern Races to Cut 39% Tariff

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Bern

WIll Dr Jonathan Sackner Bernstein (Parkinson's researcher) win a major medicine/biology award by mid 2036

Jun 23, 5:05 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

9.14%chance

421858

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31528

3172

Will Bernie Sanders ever be elected President?

Jan 13, 8:22 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

1.18%chance

338463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6261

797

Which Bernie Sanders endorsees will win their 2026 primaries?

May 1, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

257257

OptionProbability

Graham Platner (ME)

Randy Villegas (CA-22)

Sam Forstag (MT-01)

Claire Valdez (NY-07)

Brad Lander (NY-10)

Brian Poindexter (OH-07)

Bob Brooks (PA-07)

Adam Hamawy (NJ-12)

Val Hoyle (OR-04)

Analilia Mejia (NJ-11)

Melat Kiros (CO-01)

Abdul El-Sayed (MI)

William Lawrence (MI-07)

Donovan McKinney (MI-13)

Rebecca Cooke (WI-03)

Justin Pearson (TN-09)

Peggy Flanagan (MN)

Cori Bush (MO-01)

Troy Jackson (ME)

Trey Martin (OK-05)

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

99

99

96

91

89

83

1

0

0

Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 4:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.28%chance

113102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3569

280

Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030?

Dec 16, 6:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.72%chance

492804

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1241

575

Will Bernie Sanders live to see a human walk on the moon again?

Mar 24, 6:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.59%chance

461944

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1117

837

Who will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary?

Dec 21, 12:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

231142

OptionProbability

Alexandria Ocasio Cortez

No endorsement before April 30 2028

Other

Ro Khanna

Runs for President himself

Jon Ossoff

Pete Buttigieg

Gavin Newsom

James talarico

Zohran mamdani

32

30

16

7

5

3

3

2

1

0

Will Bernie Sanders officially run for president in 2028?

Jun 10, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6%chance

5797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1647

946

Will "On today's panel with Bernie Sanders" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Apr 30, 9:27 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15.81%chance

8264

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

884

Will a US senator, other than Bernie Sanders, identify as a socialist before 2030?

Nov 1, 3:17 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

64.18%chance

9228

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143

86

Will Bernard Arnault (CEO of Louis Vuitton) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 21, 2:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.13%chance

4112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

202

55

Will Henry Bass, Alex Zhu, cassox, Anjan Katta, Sam Bernstein, or Luca Rade get to meet jay gunkelman OR cayden pierce?

Sep 21, 6:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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