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Top stories

Switzerland Offers Putin Immunity for Geneva Ukraine Peace Talks

Switzerland Offers Putin Immunity for Geneva Ukraine Peace Talks

Authors

38

1 year ago

Swiss Post Halts U.S. Shipments as Bern Races to Cut 39% Tariff

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Bern

WIll Dr Jonathan Sackner Bernstein (Parkinson's researcher) win a major medicine/biology award by mid 2036

Jun 23, 5:05 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

9.14%chance

421858

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31528

3172

Will Bernie Sanders ever be elected President?

Jan 13, 8:22 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

1.18%chance

338463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6261

797

Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)

Oct 27, 12:24 AMNov 3, 2:00 PM

53131

OptionProbability

At least 24%

At least 16%

At least 18%

At least 20%

At least 22%

At least 26%

At least 28%

At least 30%

At least 32%

At least 34%

99

99

94

93

91

89

75

25

11

6

Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 4:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.28%chance

113102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3569

280

Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030?

Dec 16, 6:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.94%chance

512914

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1337

491

What will happen to Bernie's Proposed "Ban ASI" Bill?

Sep 3, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

171953

OptionProbability

Doesn't pass in Senate

Doesn't pass in House

Unclear by Dec 31 2027

Other?

Passed into law

Never introduced

Presidential Veto

30

18

18

15

9

8

2

Will Bernie Sanders live to see a human walk on the moon again?

Mar 24, 6:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.59%chance

461944

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1117

837

Who will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary?

Dec 21, 12:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

241222

OptionProbability

Alexandria Ocasio Cortez

Other

Ro Khanna

No endorsement before April 30 2028

Jon Ossoff

Pete Buttigieg

Runs for President himself

Gavin Newsom

James talarico

Zohran mamdani

48

15

13

12

3

3

3

2

1

0

Will Bernie Sanders officially run for president in 2028?

Jun 10, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.76%chance

6862

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1712

942

Will Egan Bernal win another Grand Tour in his career?

Jun 18, 6:40 PMJan 12, 10:59 PM

4.35%chance

6441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

469

21

Will Bernie's 50% AI tax pass?

Jun 3, 5:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.7%chance

4426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

510

20

Will "On today's panel with Bernie Sanders" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Apr 30, 9:27 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15.81%chance

8264

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

884

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