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Top stories

Gladiator, Goliath, IDEX, Toogood, Ridgeline, Midnight Sun, Onyx Advance Copper and Gold Drilling Programs Across North America

Natural Resources

Gladiator, Goliath, IDEX, Toogood, Ridgeline, Midnight Sun, Onyx Advance Copper and Gold Drilling Programs Across North America

Authors

3

6 days ago

Prediction markets for Best Chance

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.44%chance

15835470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1721

1121

Will the best public LLM at the end of 2025 solve more than 5 of the first 10 Project Euler problems published in 2026?

Oct 26, 10:09 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

75.11%chance

2811608

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

836

Will Koi be the first species we uplift?

Dec 20, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.95%chance

728703

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2438

1224

Will ANY DeepSeek model cause or materially enable a catastrophic risk by 2027?

Jan 21, 11:42 PMJan 29, 4:59 AM

7.29%chance

507901

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5386

489

Will r1 or v3 cause or materially enable a catastrophic risk by 2027?

Jan 21, 11:41 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

2.98%chance

366279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5703

175

Will Republicans abolish the filibuster before the end of 2028?

Apr 8, 12:37 PMJan 10, 5:59 AM

12.3%chance

214916

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5015

4904

Will at least 20% of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

Jun 13, 5:56 PMMar 2, 7:59 AM

19.48%chance

473270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1182

928

Will GPT-5 be able to GM a session of my custom TTRPG to my satisfaction?

Jun 11, 9:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.97%chance

252531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1831

546

Is the preprint suggesting Betelgeuse supernova within decades correct?

Jun 20, 12:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.7%chance

161969

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1919

765

Will GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?

Mar 4, 1:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.35%chance

211834

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

811

Will there be a child polymath of unprecedented talent before 2045?

Aug 5, 8:33 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.95%chance

81205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1734

577

Will Substack have a $10B valuation by June 7, 2032?

Jun 7, 9:31 PMJun 7, 11:59 PM

23.19%chance

8825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1835

557

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