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Prediction markets for Bitcoin

Will Bitcoin ever go below $10,000 again?

Jan 20, 12:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50%chance

205335686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1402

869

Bitcoin below $55K in 2026?

Jan 7, 11:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.95%chance

15467284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1277

784

Will Bitcoin trade above $400k before it falls below $40k?

Dec 25, 9:23 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

20.88%chance

7262689

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

938

Bitcoin $120K in 2026?

Jan 2, 5:21 AMJan 3, 7:59 AM

9.76%chance

6425799

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3044

329

Will bitcoin hit $300k before 2040-01-23?

Jun 2, 6:14 AMJan 24, 12:59 AM

70.32%chance

3620022

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1568

597

Bitcoin $130K in 2026?

Jan 2, 5:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.49%chance

4319668

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3514

285

Will Bitcoin become US Treasury reserve asset by 2030?

Jul 22, 10:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50.74%chance

3210661

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2084

1902

Will Bitcoin Outperform Altcoins in 2026?

Feb 6, 5:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

63.24%chance

2510622

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13115

7625

What will be the log change in bitcoin's market share among all currencies between 2023 and 2100? (M3000 subsidy)

May 22, 2:50 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

64.46%chance

82561

OptionProbability

NO

YES

4387

2599

Drivechain: Bitcoin prices x drivechain merge by 2028

Nov 17, 5:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42025

OptionProbability

No Drivechain // <= $100k

No Drivechain // > $100k

Drivechain // > $100k

Drivechain // <= $100k

32

29

22

17

Bitcoin in USD on random day in 2026, resolves to first 2 leading digits as PROB

Jan 23, 11:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.55%chance

11846

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1260

852

Bitcoin Hashrate at end of 2028

Jan 1, 8:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Above 750 EH/s

Above 1000 EH/s

Above 1250 EH/s

Above 1500 EH/s

50

50

50

50

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