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Prediction markets for Bitcoin

Will Bitcoin ever go below $10,000 again?

Jan 20, 12:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

45.62%chance

188328265

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1499

780

Will Bitcoin trade above $400k before it falls below $40k?

Dec 25, 9:23 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

40%chance

6658154

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1177

570

Bitcoin below $60K in 2026?

Dec 29, 12:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

84.03%chance

8941482

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2296

436

Will bitcoin hit $300k before 2040-01-23?

Jun 2, 6:14 AMJan 24, 12:59 AM

80.78%chance

2919162

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2058

441

Will Bitcoin become US Treasury reserve asset by 2030?

Jul 22, 10:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.35%chance

3110561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2010

1984

Will Bitcoin Outperform Altcoins in 2026?

Feb 6, 5:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

58.92%chance

147157

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11977

8349

Bitcoin $130K in 2026?

Jan 2, 5:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.27%chance

223333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1983

504

Bitcoin $120K in 2026?

Jan 2, 5:21 AMJan 3, 7:59 AM

23%chance

202536

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1832

547

What will be the log change in bitcoin's market share among all currencies between 2023 and 2100? (M3000 subsidy)

May 22, 2:50 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

66.3%chance

72461

OptionProbability

NO

YES

4576

2499

Drivechain: Bitcoin prices x drivechain merge by 2028

Nov 17, 5:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41960

OptionProbability

No Drivechain // <= $100k

No Drivechain // > $100k

Drivechain // > $100k

Drivechain // <= $100k

32

28

23

17

Bitcoin below $25K in 2026?

Feb 5, 9:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

4254

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

101

Bitcoin Hashrate at end of 2028

Jan 1, 8:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Above 750 EH/s

Above 1000 EH/s

Above 1250 EH/s

Above 1500 EH/s

50

50

50

50

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