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Top stories

Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout

Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout

Authors

15

8 months ago

U.S. Vice President Vance Backs U.K. ‘Raise the Colours’ Flag Campaign

U.S. Vice President Vance Backs U.K. ‘Raise the Colours’ Flag Campaign

Authors

5

8 months ago

UK Bars Israeli Officials From London Defence Expo Over Gaza Offensive

UK Bars Israeli Officials From London Defence Expo Over Gaza Offensive

Authors

20

8 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Germany, France and Britain Urge Iran to Revive Nuclear Talks

Authors

3

8 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Lib Dem Leader Davey Boycotts Trump Banquet in Gaza Protest

Authors

5

8 months ago

NYT: Russian Drones Track U.S. Arms Routes in Germany; Kremlin Denies

Authors

12

8 months ago

Labour Grandees Clash Over ECHR Exit as Asylum Hotel Battle Escalates

Authors

13

8 months ago

Apple Says UK Competition Plan Risks Delays and Weakens iPhone Security

Authors

6

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Britain

Will Restore Britain win the most seats at the next UK general election?

Feb 15, 9:25 PMJul 31, 10:59 PM

3.8%chance

1917099

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4371

692

Will there be a civil war in Britain before the end of 2029

Aug 5, 10:47 AMDec 30, 4:59 PM

10.12%chance

394786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3060

345

Britain net migration < 25,000 for 2026

Jan 7, 12:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12%chance

103275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2708

369

Will Restore Britain win any seats at the next UK general election?

Feb 15, 4:08 PMAug 15, 11:59 PM

42.11%chance

263176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

853

How many seats will Restore Britain or its successor have in Parliament following the next UK general election?

Apr 23, 5:17 PMAug 31, 10:59 PM

51389

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 1

Above 2

Above 5

Above 10

Above 20

Above 50

Above 100

Above 200

Above 326

10

6

3

3

3

3

3

1

1

1

Will a crossing of the Irish Sea, between Great Britain and Ireland, have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 8:49 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

7.42%chance

141075

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1564

883

Will Great Britain and Northern Ireland abolish its monarchy before 2030?

Apr 8, 10:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.4%chance

31780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

958

Will Britain still use FPTP voting (and no other voting mechanisms) for picking MPs in 2040?

Jan 28, 6:53 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

44%chance

14371

OptionVotes

YES

NO

273

134

Will Universal Studios Great Britain open before 2030?

Feb 5, 5:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.53%chance

5206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

355

114

Which of these franchises will be present at Universal Studios Great Britain at opening?

Apr 10, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4122

OptionProbability

James Bond

Lord of the Rings

Back to the Future

Paddington

Harry Potter

52

50

50

50

44

Will a middle spotted woodpecker be seen in Britain by the end of 2030?

Apr 8, 2:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

53.52%chance

8103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

144

Will a pygmy cormorant be seen in Britain by the end of 2030?

Apr 8, 2:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

49.17%chance

26

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

90

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