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Top stories

Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout

Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout

Authors

15

3 months ago

U.S. Vice President Vance Backs U.K. ‘Raise the Colours’ Flag Campaign

U.S. Vice President Vance Backs U.K. ‘Raise the Colours’ Flag Campaign

Authors

5

3 months ago

UK Bars Israeli Officials From London Defence Expo Over Gaza Offensive

UK Bars Israeli Officials From London Defence Expo Over Gaza Offensive

Authors

20

3 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Germany, France and Britain Urge Iran to Revive Nuclear Talks

Authors

3

3 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Lib Dem Leader Davey Boycotts Trump Banquet in Gaza Protest

Authors

5

3 months ago

NYT: Russian Drones Track U.S. Arms Routes in Germany; Kremlin Denies

Authors

12

3 months ago

Labour Grandees Clash Over ECHR Exit as Asylum Hotel Battle Escalates

Authors

13

3 months ago

Apple Says UK Competition Plan Risks Delays and Weakens iPhone Security

Authors

6

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Britain

Will Britain agree on a deal to give Mauritius the Chagos islands by the end of 2025?

Jan 14, 10:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.58%chance

267285

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1974

507

Which NATO countries will start fighting in 🇺🇦 Ukraine in 2025

Jun 21, 12:36 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

274969

OptionProbability

🇲🇨 Poland

🇫🇷 France

🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹 Baltic States

🇱🇷 USA

🇸🇰 Slovakia

🇹🇷 Türkiye

🇭🇺 Hungary

🇩🇰 Denmark

🇩🇪 Germany

🇬🇧 Britain

🇨🇿 Czech

10

4

4

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

Will there be a civil war in Britain before the end of 2029

Aug 5, 10:47 AMDec 30, 4:59 PM

11.64%chance

314511

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2755

363

Which states have veto power in the UN Security Council in 2050?

Dec 14, 9:23 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

103649

OptionProbability

France

United States of America

People's Republic of China

Great Britain

Russia

Any East Asian or Southeast Asian state or intergovernmental organization (excluding China)

India

Brazil

European Union

Any arabic state or intergovernmental organization

Any african state or intergovernmental organization

97

95

95

95

92

25

23

15

11

10

9

Will a crossing of the Irish Sea, between Great Britain and Ireland, have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 8:49 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

7.42%chance

141075

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1564

883

Will the USA "liberate the people of Britain from their tyrannical government" before the next US presidential election?

Jan 6, 9:00 AMNov 6, 11:59 PM

1%chance

101051

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Will Great Britain and Northern Ireland abolish its monarchy before 2030?

Apr 8, 10:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.4%chance

31780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

958

Will Universal Studios Great Britain open before 2030?

Feb 5, 5:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.53%chance

5206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

355

114

Will Britain still use FPTP voting (and no other voting mechanisms) for picking MPs in 2040?

Jan 28, 6:53 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

42.75%chance

10175

OptionVotes

YES

NO

278

130

Which of these franchises will be present at Universal Studios Great Britain at opening?

Apr 10, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4122

OptionProbability

James Bond

Lord of the Rings

Back to the Future

Paddington

Harry Potter

52

50

50

50

44

Will a middle spotted woodpecker be seen in Britain by the end of 2030?

Apr 8, 2:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

53.52%chance

8103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

144

Will a pygmy cormorant be seen in Britain by the end of 2030?

Apr 8, 2:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

49.17%chance

26

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

90

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