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Top stories

Zoe Lofgren’s CA-18 District Remains Harris +30 With 64% Latino Population Under Voting Rights Act Protection

US Domestic Policy

Zoe Lofgren’s CA-18 District Remains Harris +30 With 64% Latino Population Under Voting Rights Act Protection

Authors

3

1 year ago

Kevin McCarthy Opposes California Redistricting Replicating DCCC Map; Robert Garcia District Redrawn, Chris Collins and Catalina Lauf Eye Florida Seats

Kevin McCarthy Opposes California Redistricting Replicating DCCC Map; Robert Garcia District Redrawn, Chris Collins and Catalina Lauf Eye Florida Seats

Authors

11

1 year ago

Prediction markets for CA

If This CA Gov candidate makes the runoff, will they win the California Governor election?

Jun 1, 9:33 PMNov 7, 1:59 AM

1812925

OptionProbability

Xavier Becerra

Katie Porter

Matt Mahan

Tom Steyer

Steve Hilton

97

49

47

44

3

2026 Us House Ca-34 winner?

Aug 6, 7:55 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

65139

OptionProbability

Angela Gonzales-Torres (D)

Jimmy Gomez (D) (Incumbent)

78

22

Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2027? [description]

Feb 15, 2:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.16%chance

102023

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2569

389

2026 Us House Ca 7 winner?

Aug 6, 7:57 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

41734

OptionProbability

Doris Matsui (D) (Incumbent)

Mai Vang (D)

59

41

Vote rigging scandal in UK, CA, Germany, Netherlands, Norway, DK, Sweden, Finland, or Ireland before 2027?

Dec 1, 9:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.54%chance

281296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1602

669

Former Antioch, CA police officer Devon Wenger receives a federal pardon on or before January 20, 2029

Dec 2, 3:25 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

63.53%chance

61274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1320

758

Dyson Swarm reaches Earth's current energy generation level before CA High-Speed Rail is complete?

Sep 2, 5:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.46%chance

71183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1644

100

Reviver, a digital license plate company, is out of business or failing in CA before EOY 2027

Sep 26, 7:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

27.42%chance

171174

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1660

555

Will Zoox obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]

Jan 27, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.48%chance

8672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

808

Will Zoox obtain an AV Driverless Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026

Jan 12, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.01%chance

7431

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1083

923

Will federal legislation pre-empt CA SB 53 by Nov 2028?

Oct 1, 5:23 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

51.48%chance

270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

971

Will "The Missing Genre: Heroic Parenthood - You ca..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Nov 29, 8:31 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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