California Democratic News
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Prediction markets for California Democratic
OptionVotes
5109
196
Will both general election candidates in the race for the governor of California be Republicans?
Apr 7, 8:22 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM
6.47%chance
96461
OptionVotes
3802
263
OptionVotes
1637
611
OptionVotes
4842
207
Will a democrat win the CA 1st congressional district special election to replace Doug LaMalfa?
Jan 6, 5:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.85%chance
53193
OptionVotes
1948
513
Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?
Dec 29, 9:03 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM
25.24%chance
133032
OptionVotes
1721
581
Who will win the Democratic primary for California governor? Tony Thurmond or Katie Porter?
May 4, 5:24 PMJun 2, 11:59 PM
53018
OptionProbability
94
6
Will the democratic party win the 2026 california gubernatorial election?
May 31, 4:49 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM
95.91%chance
172468
OptionVotes
519
75
8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
65.4%chance
222282
OptionVotes
1377
729
OptionProbability
17
17
15
14
11
11
8
6
Chamath prediction: democrats lose one of California or New York by 2032?
Nov 9, 8:00 AMNov 1, 1:59 PM
34.03%chance
8490
OptionVotes
1392
718
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 32nd State Senate district
Jul 7, 2:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
213
OptionProbability
53
47