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Prediction markets for Capital

Will the US implement some form of capital control by 2029?

Mar 9, 11:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53%chance

5410415

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6420

3008

Will Trump visit Moscow (capital of Russia) in 2025

Feb 12, 8:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

16.87%chance

587925

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2220

450

Will there be any tax on unrealized capital gains in the USA before eoy2028?

Aug 20, 7:23 PMDec 31, 1:29 PM

13.85%chance

324296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2494

401

🏛💸Capital Gains Tax Increase Before 2027? (USA)

Apr 19, 12:49 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM

7.67%chance

192764

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3515

368

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

22.16%chance

202757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1470

801

Will the cover of @RichardHanania 's new book on elite human capital have a trans woman on it?

Dec 16, 12:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46.29%chance

151566

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1077

928

Capitalism and liberal democracy are going to be doing fine (or well) in 2030

Jan 6, 6:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.64%chance

371499

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1021

798

US Treasury announces new capital controls before May 22, 2026

Apr 22, 11:17 PMMay 22, 11:59 PM

25.48%chance

81348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1710

585

🏛💸Capital Gains Tax Increase Before 2026? (USA)

Apr 19, 4:02 AMJan 1, 1:00 AM

18%chance

271221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1761

731

Will any UN country change its capital city before the year 2030?

Jun 30, 2:38 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

69.06%chance

151003

OptionVotes

NO

YES

988

983

Will the deadline for deferring capital gains using qualified opportunity zone funds be extended?

Aug 23, 12:31 AMSep 23, 3:59 AM

20.75%chance

1825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1925

754

Will Airbyte ever raise another round of capital?

Jun 14, 3:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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