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Prediction markets for car
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
Oct 30, 4:19 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM
35.21%chance
147153711
OptionVotes
1285
795
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
Sep 1, 11:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
61%chance
445128317
OptionVotes
3697
2549
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
49.63%chance
318107387
OptionVotes
1017
956
Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?
Sep 9, 12:44 PMSep 16, 10:59 PM
7756617
OptionProbability
73
23
3
0
0
0
0
Will Tesla become the top-selling car manufacturer in 2027?
Aug 19, 11:35 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM
9.37%chance
13342139
OptionVotes
4181
1412
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
Apr 4, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
82.82%chance
11520505
OptionVotes
4373
1285
Will we have flying cars commercially available by the year 2035?
Aug 25, 12:35 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
32.78%chance
6112317
OptionVotes
989
927
Will any mass-produced electric car or truck have a range of at least 1000 miles by the end of 2029?
Dec 12, 4:26 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
18.9%chance
7010719
OptionVotes
2233
521
OptionVotes
1462
798
Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?
Nov 2, 10:45 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
85.83%chance
536019
OptionVotes
2202
165
Will we be able to buy a €25k autonomous car that doesn't require driving license in mid 2029 in Italy?
Jun 2, 12:42 PMJun 2, 9:59 PM
11.81%chance
363341
OptionVotes
2733
366
Will 0.1% of the US population have traveled in a flying car by 2050?
Apr 16, 3:00 AMJan 1, 1:15 PM
47.56%chance
161523
OptionVotes
1065
894