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Top stories

Aguas Andinas Announces 36-Hour Water Cut in Six Santiago Communes Amid Closure of Seven Line 4 and Franklin Line 6 Metro Stations

Aguas Andinas Announces 36-Hour Water Cut in Six Santiago Communes Amid Closure of Seven Line 4 and Franklin Line 6 Metro Stations

Authors

5

3 months ago

Prediction markets for car

Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?

Oct 30, 4:19 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM

30.32%chance

149156658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1447

717

Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?

Sep 1, 11:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.43%chance

447130681

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3258

2837

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

42.92%chance

318110019

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1160

832

Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?

Sep 9, 12:44 PMSep 16, 10:59 PM

7756948

OptionProbability

Tesla

Waymo

Other

openpilot

General Motors

Cavendish Labs

None (does not happen by market close)

80

15

4

0

0

0

0

Will Tesla become the top-selling car manufacturer in 2027?

Aug 19, 11:35 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

8.19%chance

13442639

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4681

1364

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?

Apr 4, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

86.33%chance

11621255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5123

1149

Tesla unveils flying car in 2025?

Nov 1, 11:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2.16%chance

5918138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6731

149

Will we have flying cars commercially available by the year 2035?

Aug 25, 12:35 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

31.15%chance

6212367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1039

903

Will any mass-produced electric car or truck have a range of at least 1000 miles by the end of 2029?

Dec 12, 4:26 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

17.52%chance

7010825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2339

498

Will most self-driving cars in 2029 use LIDAR?

Nov 2, 7:43 PMDec 2, 5:59 AM

23.51%chance

828854

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1445

803

Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?

Nov 2, 10:45 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

84.81%chance

536369

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2146

175

Will we be able to buy a €25k autonomous car that doesn't require driving license in mid 2029 in Italy?

Jun 2, 12:42 PMJun 2, 9:59 PM

11.81%chance

363341

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2733

366

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