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Manchester United Opens £50 Million Revamped Carrington Training Base

5 days ago

What will happen during Trump's second term?

Nov 8, 3:31 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

718050

OptionProbability

RFK Jr. gets cabinet position or position in any public health department

J6er pardoned

Sports team invited to the white house

A member of Congress is censured or expelled

Mass Deportations

The democrats take control of the house of representatives

Any vaccines banned for any group of people

A major insider trading scandal linked to the US executive branch

Prohibiting or restricting transgender care for adults

Trump is impeached

Joe Exotic is released from prison

350 million people or more die, according to expert estimates

US punitive expedition in Mexico

Drone strike in Mexico by US

AGI achieved

Starlink satellites damaged by US adversary

Nuclear weapon detonation

100k humanoid robots manufactured

Significant Rogue AI Incident

China invades Taiwan

It ends with JD Vance becoming president

Coup attempt in the United States

Any part of Greenland becomes de facto US territory (excludes military bases)

A human walks on the Moon

Room temperature superconductor discovered

Flag desecration prohibition passed

Elon Musk is arrested for treason

US military intervention on Canadian territory

Supreme Court packing

The Senate eliminates the filibuster

Donald Trump reelected President

Tulsi Gabbard is arrested for treason

Eagles three-peat

22nd amendment repealed or interpreted to only apply to consecutive terms

Largest solar flare since Carrington Event

End Russo-Ukranian war in 90 days

100

If another Carrington Event occurred tomorrow, what percent of the US population would still be alive after 6 months?

May 31, 7:31 AMJun 1, 6:59 AM

266575

If another Carrington Event happens, will I be able to resolve this?

Jun 12, 8:44 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

69.71%chance

141561

OptionVotes

YES

1517

659

How many billions of dollars would it cost the US to make the next Carrington Event not cause societal collapse?

Jun 1, 3:04 AMJun 1, 6:59 AM

191491

If another Carrington Event occurred tomorrow, would most Manifold users still be alive in a year?

Jun 3, 12:31 AMJun 1, 6:59 AM

71.04%chance

11918

OptionVotes

YES

1566

638

If another Carrington Event hit the US, would most people be using electricity again in less than a week?

Jun 3, 6:34 PMJun 4, 6:59 AM

56.16%chance

17891

OptionVotes

YES

1132

884

Will $10 million be spent on hardening US infrastructure from EMP/CME before 2028?

May 25, 10:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.91%chance

12550

OptionVotes

YES

3605

3380

Will a solar storm at least as powerful as the Carrington Event hit Earth before superintelligence is created?

Feb 29, 12:57 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.94%chance

21515

OptionVotes

YES

1193

896

Will a Carrington-like event solar storm hit Earth before 2030?

Mar 19, 11:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.34%chance

11495

OptionVotes

YES

1021

976

If a solar flare at least as strong as the Carrington Event hits Earth before 2030, will we recover within 15 years?

Dec 29, 11:02 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

81.84%chance

10354

OptionVotes

YES

1018

808

Which boy will win Perfect Match?

Aug 3, 4:29 PMSep 2, 4:26 PM

1200

OptionProbability

Daniel

Louis

Ollie

Other

Carrington

Cody

Clayton

Freddie

If another Carrington Event occurred tomorrow, would you still be alive in a year?

Jun 3, 12:33 AM

120

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What will happen during Trump's second term?

If another Carrington Event occurred tomorrow, what percent of the US population would still be alive after 6 months?

If another Carrington Event happens, will I be able to resolve this?

How many billions of dollars would it cost the US to make the next Carrington Event not cause societal collapse?

If another Carrington Event occurred tomorrow, would most Manifold users still be alive in a year?

If another Carrington Event hit the US, would most people be using electricity again in less than a week?

Will $10 million be spent on hardening US infrastructure from EMP/CME before 2028?

Will a solar storm at least as powerful as the Carrington Event hit Earth before superintelligence is created?

Will a Carrington-like event solar storm hit Earth before 2030?

If a solar flare at least as strong as the Carrington Event hits Earth before 2030, will we recover within 15 years?

Which boy will win Perfect Match?

If another Carrington Event occurred tomorrow, would you still be alive in a year?

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