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Top stories

Trump’s 50% Coffee Tariff Fuels 30% Spike in Arabica Prices

Trump’s 50% Coffee Tariff Fuels 30% Spike in Arabica Prices

Authors

33

1 year ago

U.S. Accelerates Screwworm Fight With Emergency Drug Powers and $750 Million Fly Factory

US Domestic Policy

U.S. Accelerates Screwworm Fight With Emergency Drug Powers and $750 Million Fly Factory

Authors

12

1 year ago

U.S. Confirms First Travel-Associated Human Case of Flesh-Eating New World Screwworm in Maryland Patient Who Traveled from Guatemala and El Salvador

Central America

U.S. Confirms First Travel-Associated Human Case of Flesh-Eating New World Screwworm in Maryland Patient Who Traveled from Guatemala and El Salvador

Authors

88

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Central America

U.S. military or CIA kinetic action against Brazil before end of 2027?

Jun 9, 2:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.16%chance

4344500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128439

102675

Pink Tide: Will leftists still govern a majority of Latin American countries at the end of 2026?

Dec 4, 2:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.97%chance

847562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4014

157

Where will the next Pokémon region be inspired by?

Apr 24, 6:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

206527

OptionProbability

South-East Asia

Oceania

South Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

North America

Mexico / Central America / Caribbean

South America

Northern Europe (Nordics and British Isles)

Eastern Europe / Central Asia (Former USSR)

Western Europe (France to Poland)

Southern Europe (Iberian Peninsula, Italy, Balkans, Greece)

Middle East & Northern Africa

East Asia

98

25

4

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

30.41%chance

221229

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1067

1030

Confirmed Ebola case in North America by EOY 2026?

May 25, 6:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.9%chance

27537

OptionVotes

YES

NO

177

78

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2030?

Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

31.47%chance

12337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

141

124

Will the next Secretary General of the UN after Guterres be from South America, Central America or the Carribean?

May 2, 6:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.63%chance

7163

OptionVotes

NO

YES

204

49

Will another Atlantic named storm (Kyle) form before December 1, 2026?

Oct 26, 3:22 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

48.59%chance

6138

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

65

Will Trump visit any country in South or Central America besides Mexico during his term?

Nov 10, 4:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.34%chance

10123

OptionVotes

NO

YES

162

62

Country in what region will merge, split, or name change first?

Jul 8, 10:30 PMJan 31, 12:00 AM

998

OptionProbability

Asia

Africa

North America

Europe

Middle East

South America

35

24

15

11

11

5

Which will be the third confederation to win a FIFA World Cup?

Jun 29, 2:08 PMJul 5, 9:32 AM

682

OptionProbability

CONCACAF (North America, Central America, Caribbean)

AFC (Asia)

CAF (Africa)

OFC (Oceania)

30

29

29

12

Will a commercial non-stop flight between Asia and South America exist before the end of 2030?

Nov 4, 3:10 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

54.75%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

55

45

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