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Top stories

Trump’s 50% Coffee Tariff Fuels 30% Spike in Arabica Prices

Trump’s 50% Coffee Tariff Fuels 30% Spike in Arabica Prices

Authors

33

1 year ago

U.S. Accelerates Screwworm Fight With Emergency Drug Powers and $750 Million Fly Factory

US Domestic Policy

U.S. Accelerates Screwworm Fight With Emergency Drug Powers and $750 Million Fly Factory

Authors

12

1 year ago

U.S. Confirms First Travel-Associated Human Case of Flesh-Eating New World Screwworm in Maryland Patient Who Traveled from Guatemala and El Salvador

Central America

U.S. Confirms First Travel-Associated Human Case of Flesh-Eating New World Screwworm in Maryland Patient Who Traveled from Guatemala and El Salvador

Authors

88

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Central America

U.S. military or CIA kinetic action against Brazil before end of 2027?

Jun 9, 2:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.74%chance

3437147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135189

102092

2026 MLB American League Central winner

Dec 20, 5:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

610544

OptionProbability

Chicago

Cleveland

Detroit

Minnesota

Kansas City

43

40

8

7

1

Where will the next Pokémon region be inspired by?

Apr 24, 6:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

206527

OptionProbability

South-East Asia

Oceania

South Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

North America

Mexico / Central America / Caribbean

South America

Northern Europe (Nordics and British Isles)

Eastern Europe / Central Asia (Former USSR)

Western Europe (France to Poland)

Southern Europe (Iberian Peninsula, Italy, Balkans, Greece)

Middle East & Northern Africa

East Asia

98

25

4

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Pink Tide: Will leftists still govern a majority of Latin American countries at the end of 2026?

Dec 4, 2:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.98%chance

794684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1819

453

Who will be the next Leftie president of the United States of America?

Dec 30, 2:30 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

154017

OptionProbability

Other

Alexandria Ocasio Cortez

Rand Paul

Bill Gates

Oprah Winfrey

Lindsey Graham

LeBron James

Jon Stewart

87

6

2

2

1

1

1

1

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

35.26%chance

201078

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

883

Will the White-tailed Deer (Odocoileus virginianus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 29, 9:13 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6.55%chance

5513

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

377

Will the Northern Raccoon, aka Common Raccoon (Procyon lotor) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 28, 9:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.22%chance

5317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

815

397

Where will Jet Lag: The Game season 20 take place?

Jun 25, 5:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8173

OptionProbability

Europe

Southeast Asia

South Korea

Hawaii

Australia

South America

Africa

India

Canada

United Kingdom

New Zealand

Scandinavia

Mexico

Central America

Middle East

China

Other

31

15

8

5

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

Will Trump visit any country in South or Central America besides Mexico during his term?

Nov 10, 4:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.09%chance

9122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

161

62

Which will be the third confederation to win a FIFA World Cup?

Jun 29, 2:08 PMJul 5, 9:32 AM

682

OptionProbability

CONCACAF (North America, Central America, Caribbean)

AFC (Asia)

CAF (Africa)

OFC (Oceania)

30

29

29

12

Will the next Secretary General of the UN after Guterres be from South America, Central America or the Carribean?

May 2, 6:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.26%chance

370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

170

59

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