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Prediction markets for Central Park

Will the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?

Jun 6, 12:13 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

54.13%chance

795708

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1957

1369

Will Donald Trump face financial penalties from the Central Park Five defamation lawsuit by end of 2025?

Oct 21, 9:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.59%chance

142389

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3070

326

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from SFO airport pickup/dropoff/terminal area by the end of 2026?

Sep 17, 8:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.48%chance

121543

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1855

539

How many inches of rain in central park in 2026?

Dec 1, 12:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2691

OptionProbability

Above 15

Above 25

Above 35

Above 45

Above 55

99

99

99

50

24

Will there be 40 inches of rain in Central Park this year?

Jan 2, 3:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.41%chance

7430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

72

Will there be 50 inches of rain in Central Park this year?

Jan 2, 3:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.78%chance

9357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

344

29

Temperature in New York City on Christmas Day > 39 Farenheit?

Dec 17, 3:38 AMDec 25, 11:59 PM

77.36%chance

12301

OptionVotes

NO

YES

185

54

South Park cancelled from Comedy Central before 2040

Mar 12, 7:57 PMMar 2, 7:59 AM

88.47%chance

11235

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1173

952

Will Central Park lose an acre of park area to development or commercialization by the end of 2030?

Apr 20, 4:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.14%chance

10205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

289

205

Will Central Park lose 5 acres of park area to development or commercialization by the end of 2030?

Apr 20, 4:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.04%chance

10175

OptionVotes

YES

NO

392

196

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 28th State Senate district

Jun 16, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

Lola Smallwood-Cuevas (incumbent)

Other

59

41

WILL THERE BE A DEEPFAKE OF JOSE LUIS RICON BEING MODDED INTO A GTA6 PLAYABLE CHARACTER BY EOY2035?

Dec 7, 1:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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