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Top stories

Modi Opens Rs11,000-Crore Dwarka Expressway and UER-II to Ease Delhi Traffic

Authors

3

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Centre

Was Hamas using Al-Shifa as a shield for a command centre?

Oct 30, 5:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

89.91%chance

15038718

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3570

700

Which Estonian political parties will be in the coalition after the 2027 parliamentary election?

Aug 16, 2:45 PMMar 7, 9:59 PM

42326

OptionProbability

Estonian Reform Party (RE)

Conservative People's Party of Estonia (EKRE)

Fatherland (I)

Estonian Nationalists and Conservatives (ERK)

The Right (PP)

Estonia 200 (E200)

Social Democratic Party (SDE)

Estonian Centre Party (KE)

Estonian Greens (EER)

36

31

27

27

27

27

25

25

7

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Mar 24, 5:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

59.68%chance

171322

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1387

576

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

34.63%chance

181220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

640

Will the Ontario Science Centre reopen at its 2024 location in the next 5 years?

Aug 3, 2:19 PMAug 11, 3:59 AM

19.68%chance

41025

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2020

495

Will a Falcon 9 launch from the Guiana Space Centre before 2030?

Feb 1, 8:12 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

6.93%chance

7457

OptionVotes

YES

NO

530

71

By 2027, will Silicon Photonics based multi-chip packages be the main way that most data centres handle data and network traffic?

Feb 25, 9:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.6%chance

21424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1177

940

When will the USA/NATO bomb an AI training centre in a foreign land?

Oct 20, 11:49 AMJan 27, 1:59 PM

5350

OptionProbability

After 31st ofDecember 2027

Before 31st of December 2027

65

35

The first religion centred around the prophetic writings and responses of AI or an AI will be founded before Oct 2026

Oct 16, 7:59 AMOct 15, 10:59 PM

81%chance

5225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

206

48

How many seats will centre to centre-left parties have in the UK House of Commons on January 1st 2030?

Sep 23, 6:05 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

2101

OptionProbability

200 - 249

250 - 299

300 - 349

350 - 399

400 - 449

0 - 200

450 - 500

500 - 650

19

19

17

12

10

8

7

7

Will an Indian rocket launch from the Guiana Space Centre before 2030?

Feb 1, 8:11 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

32.88%chance

462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

92

Will the new San Francisco Centre mall get a new bookstore by EOY2026?

May 6, 3:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46.56%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

93

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