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Prediction markets for Chelsea

Will Chelsea Voss (@csvoss) and gwern end up in a relationship (or fall in love/have babby together) by EOY2028?

Nov 27, 11:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.49%chance

8571

OptionVotes

YES

NO

526

19

Will BasedBeffJezos and Chelsea voss date by EOY 2060

Jan 20, 7:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40%chance

5460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

If Jose Luis Ricon were to sumo-wrestle Chelsea Voss, would he win?

Feb 2, 12:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.99%chance

6126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will roko, Grimes, Chelsea Voss, Jose Luis Ricon, Henry Bass, &Danielle Fong all play SMAC (Alpha Centauri) by EOY2030?

Jan 16, 10:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.29%chance

262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

67

Will Chelsea Voss still be at OpenAI through EOY 2026?

Jan 28, 10:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.14%chance

561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

65

Will >50% of Razib Khan+Chelsea Voss gene pairings have a IQ PRS score of > +2.18 by Savage et al. 2018 study SNPs?

Feb 2, 12:55 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48%chance

244

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

If Chelsea Voss played 1v1 Offworld Trading Company with Andrej Karpathy, would she win?

Sep 11, 12:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.59%chance

544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

92

87

Will Chelsea Voss have longer telomere length than Jose Luis Ricon?

Jul 22, 8:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

If Jose Luis Ricon and Chelsea Voss both played Sins of a Solar Empire 2, would Jose win?

Sep 11, 12:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.55%chance

320

OptionVotes

NO

YES

52

48

If Chelsea Voss were to 1v1 Martin Shkreli in OffWorld Trading Company, would she win?

Jun 28, 3:02 AMJan 1, 4:02 AM

40.98%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

If Chelsea Voss were to 1v1 Domenic Denicola in Supreme Commander: FA, would she win?

Jul 12, 8:50 PMDec 31, 9:50 PM

52.91%chance

28

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

94

Will Jose Luis Ricon, Rochelle Shen, Chelsea Voss, William Eden, Henry Bass all play Civ6/Civ7 together by EOY2029?

Aug 4, 8:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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