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Top stories

Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars

Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars

Authors

24

3 months ago

US Armed Services Chair Wicker Visits Taiwan, Reaffirms Security Ties Amid Chinese Protests

US Foreign Policy

US Armed Services Chair Wicker Visits Taiwan, Reaffirms Security Ties Amid Chinese Protests

Authors

17

3 months ago

US Revokes Intel and Samsung China Waivers, Extends Some Tariff Exemptions

US Revokes Intel and Samsung China Waivers, Extends Some Tariff Exemptions

Authors

28

3 months ago

Company Earnings

Nvidia Tops Q2 Estimates but Leaves China H20 Sales Out of Guidance

Authors

139

3 months ago

US Foreign Policy

China, Russia Blast U.S. Typhon Missile Plan in Japan as Beijing Pressures Manila

Authors

6

3 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Hong Kong Officials Exit Bitcoin Summit After Advice to Avoid Eric Trump

Authors

26

3 months ago

Xi Purges Fifth of PLA Generals Before Beijing Weapons Parade

Authors

13

3 months ago

HMS Prince of Wales Arrives in Tokyo as UK, Japan Tighten Defence Ties

Authors

14

3 months ago

Prediction markets for China

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

May 24, 1:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.58%chance

904510910

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16189

11566

China's rebar failure rate below 20% in 2025 national quality check?

Nov 26, 6:18 AMJul 29, 10:59 PM

84.97%chance

72180819

OptionVotes

NO

YES

237775

42057

Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Oct 5, 1:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

21%chance

502150372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3140

2098

China blockades Taiwan in 2025? (media reports)

Jan 14, 7:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1.67%chance

7397952

OptionVotes

YES

NO

93931

4125

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

Nov 12, 2:34 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

55.99%chance

27893250

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2472

1266

US defaults on debt held by China before 2027?

Apr 7, 9:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.27%chance

5986466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

47365

2111

Will Taiwan de facto be controlled by China before 2026 according to Western media?

Jan 28, 6:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1.99%chance

3485208

OptionVotes

YES

NO

63490

6633

Will China have the best open LLM at EOY?

Mar 12, 7:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

92.62%chance

18550247

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3543

282

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50.91%chance

9443785

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

921

Is China’s LVA Surgery a legitimate treatment for Alzheimer’s?

Nov 23, 6:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.19%chance

4533852

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33693

3290

China's 70-city new home price index YoY change for December 2025 >= -2.0%?

Nov 26, 6:05 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

41.2%chance

52457

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11947

8370

China's 70-city new home price index for January 2026 ≥ -2.0% YoY?

Nov 26, 6:08 AMFeb 27, 11:59 PM

56.59%chance

71492

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11417

8759

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