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Top stories

DeSantis Names Ally Mike Caruso Palm Beach County Court Clerk

US Gov Appointments

DeSantis Names Ally Mike Caruso Palm Beach County Court Clerk

Authors

7

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Circuit Court

Will the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?

Nov 14, 2:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.94%chance

274184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2301

818

Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?

Apr 30, 12:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.2%chance

271752

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1411

781

Will the Supreme Court uphold the 5th Circuit ruling restricting mifepristone?

May 6, 4:09 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM

28.47%chance

10633

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1585

631

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to hear the the NJ prediction market case by the end of 2026?

Sep 2, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.36%chance

6618

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1295

772

When will a US court first rule that an AI is legally a person?

Dec 27, 11:36 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

32.57%chance

17583

OptionProbability

NO

YES

982

964

Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?

Sep 8, 6:27 PMDec 31, 7:22 PM

67%chance

3442

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1425

702

Will the Trump administration successfully overturn the Anthropic injunction on appeal by September 30, 2026?

Apr 2, 4:55 PMOct 1, 8:00 AM

5.05%chance

3346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

396

63

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant cert or agree to hear arguments in the Texas DACA case by February 27, 2027? (2/27/27)

Aug 31, 2:39 PMFeb 26, 11:59 PM

12.03%chance

3284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

236

66

Will DACA be struck down by the US judicial system?

Sep 14, 4:17 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

44.51%chance

13202

OptionVotes

NO

YES

214

202

Will Kalshi respond to New Jersey's Supreme Court petition by November 15, 2026?

Sep 2, 6:37 PMNov 16, 4:59 AM

86.09%chance

3177

OptionVotes

NO

YES

207

71

Is a Forced Reset Trigger (FRT) a machine gun?

Dec 21, 4:36 AMJan 2, 4:30 AM

41.43%chance

449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

Circuit-level appeal of a dismissal of a microplastics case on the merits (preemption, causation, pleadings) byEOY2028?

Apr 24, 7:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.37%chance

216

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

86

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