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Prediction markets for City

How much time will Tetra spend in each city in 2025?

Aug 18, 9:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

531966

OptionProbability

Middlesbrough

Other

London

Paris

Osaka / Kyoto

Portland

Seattle

San Francisco

Boston

New York

Tokyo

Washington

Taipei

20

19

16

10

8

6

6

3

3

2

2

2

2

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?

Apr 4, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

86.33%chance

11621255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5123

1149

Will 5,000+ people live in a new city in the Bay Area financed by Silicon Valley moguls by 2030?

Aug 27, 6:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.05%chance

11911172

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1974

1824

Would a Manifold meetup in these cities get 10+ participants this year?

Apr 5, 2:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

109363

OptionProbability

London

Berlin

Singapore

Paris

San Juan, Puerto Rico

Bangalore

91

69

57

49

40

12

Will Manchester City be severely punished by the Premier League?

Feb 4, 3:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.45%chance

546674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4980

1946

In what state will the Kansas City Chiefs play a majority of their home games in the 2031 NFL season?

Jul 24, 2:54 AMJan 26, 5:59 AM

32771

OptionProbability

Missouri

Kansas

Other

75

24

1

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

47.66%chance

52539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10480

9542

China's 70-city new home price index YoY change for December 2025 >= -2.0%?

Nov 26, 6:05 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

40.94%chance

42413

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12010

8326

Will any city >50k have energy "too cheap to meter" by 2035?

Aug 2, 2:44 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.24%chance

121930

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1129

955

China's 70-city new home price index for January 2026 ≥ -2.0% YoY?

Nov 26, 6:08 AMFeb 27, 11:59 PM

56.48%chance

61467

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11392

8778

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 11

Apr 8, 3:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Traci Park (incumbent)

Other

Faizah Malik

39

39

22

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

Nov 9, 7:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Kenneth Mejia (incumbent)

Isadore Hall

Other

33

33

33

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