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Prediction markets for City of London

Will at least one World Marathon Major be won under 2 hours every year until end of 2029?

Apr 26, 1:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.02%chance

271370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

610

430

Will 10% of London die in any year from disaster, before 2035?

Jun 2, 2:18 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

2.41%chance

151248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2016

915

Will the United Kingdom attempt to rejoin the EU and Greece demand the Elgin Marbles back to let them? [2033]

Jul 7, 3:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.15%chance

241220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1285

830

Will Baidu driverless cars be available to ride in London in 2026?

Dec 22, 6:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.28%chance

131206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1482

675

London Bridge literally falls down in the next 5 years (like the rhyme)

Jan 17, 4:25 AMJan 17, 4:24 AM

5.12%chance

12959

OptionVotes

YES

NO

431

23

Trump family members knighted by 2040?

Oct 27, 11:16 PMJan 1, 11:23 PM

10.44%chance

12468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

293

34

Will the LBMA Silver Price fix at or above $80/oz on any day in September 2026?

Sep 1, 3:03 PMOct 1, 12:00 AM

5%chance

5347

OptionVotes

YES

NO

415

59

Will Crossrail 2 be approved before 2030?

May 1, 8:34 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

32.85%chance

8196

OptionVotes

YES

NO

123

68

Will a plan to connect Leeds to London via high-speed rail be approved before 2035?

May 1, 7:50 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

70.51%chance

4151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

131

65

London–NYC Vactrain by 2070?

Dec 13, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.4%chance

5137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

61

Will London Breed run for public office in 2025-2030?

Apr 12, 2:06 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

73.39%chance

9115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

166

60

Will China Host a MLB World Tour Event before 2040?

Apr 12, 6:25 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

41.67%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

123

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