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Prediction markets for City of London

Will Eliud Kipchoge ever win the NYC or Boston marathon?

May 7, 1:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.79%chance

103560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2072

353

Will 10% of London die in any year from disaster, before 2035?

Jun 2, 2:18 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

2.41%chance

151248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2016

915

Will the United Kingdom attempt to rejoin the EU and Greece demand the Elgin Marbles back to let them? [2033]

Jul 7, 3:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.15%chance

241220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1285

830

London Bridge literally falls down in the next 5 years (like the rhyme)

Jan 17, 4:25 AMJan 17, 4:24 AM

5.12%chance

12959

OptionVotes

YES

NO

431

23

Will the NFL announce a team for any non-US city by the start of the 2026 season?

Nov 13, 1:55 PMSep 11, 3:59 AM

3.01%chance

7616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

726

64

Trump family members knighted by 2040?

Oct 27, 11:16 PMJan 1, 11:23 PM

10.44%chance

12468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

293

34

Will Baidu driverless cars be available to ride in London in 2026?

Dec 22, 6:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.53%chance

4202

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

877

Will Crossrail 2 be approved before 2030?

May 1, 8:34 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

32.85%chance

8196

OptionVotes

YES

NO

123

68

Will a plan to connect Leeds to London via high-speed rail be approved before 2035?

May 1, 7:50 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

70.51%chance

4151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

131

65

London–NYC Vactrain by 2070?

Dec 13, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.19%chance

5128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

58

Will London Breed run for public office in 2025-2030?

Apr 12, 2:06 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

73.39%chance

9115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

166

60

Will China Host a MLB World Tour Event before 2040?

Apr 12, 6:25 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

41.67%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

123

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