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Prediction markets for City of New York

Who will be elected mayor of New York City in 2025?

Jul 16, 5:26 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

860644139

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

Andrew Cuomo

Eric Adams

Brad Lander

Curtis Sliwa

Andrew Yang

Jim Walden

Other

Scott Stringer

Zellnor Myrie

invalid

Jumaane Williams

Jessica Ramos

Letitia James

Michael Blake

Joseph Borelli

John Catsimatidis

Alicia Glen

Christine Quinn

Jessica tisch

Adrienne Adams

Whitney Tilson

83

7

4

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Eric Adams be re-elected mayor of New York City in 2025?

Sep 13, 8:22 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

5.34%chance

12542764

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4188

468

Who Will be the Next Mayor of New York City? (Add answers)

Sep 26, 2:54 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

7326999

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

Andrew Cuomo

Eric Adams (reelected)

Other

Brad Lander

Jessica Ramos

Curtis Silwa

Christine Quinn

80

12

6

1

0

0

0

0

Will Ritchie Torres be the next Mayor of New York City

Feb 21, 3:54 PMNov 29, 4:59 AM

2.39%chance

1024170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6386

157

Will Andrew Cuomo be elected as mayor of New York City?

Mar 1, 7:02 PMDec 4, 3:30 PM

5.9%chance

7318727

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3228

671

Will Eric Adams win a second term as mayor of New York City?

Oct 10, 2:15 PMNov 16, 4:59 AM

5.45%chance

239725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3850

595

Will Eric Adams resign as Mayor of New York City before his term is over?

Oct 5, 1:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.51%chance

345824

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1258

12

📜Which of the Ten Biblical Plagues of Egypt will strike New York City in 2025?

Feb 7, 10:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

211997

OptionProbability

A Storm with Thunder, Lightning, and Hail (and optionally, Fire)

Swarm of Locusts (or Cicadas)

Infestation of Lice (or Bedbugs)

Infestation of (Flies / Wild Animals)

Pestilence of Livestock

3 days of Darkness (or Wildfire smog or power Blackout)

Outbreak of Boils

Water turning into blood (or Red Tide)

Swarm of Frogs

Death of firstborns (see rules)

91

85

68

44

28

19

15

9

6

2

If Zohran Mamdani becomes mayor of New York City, what policies will he implement?

Jun 25, 2:29 AMJan 26, 3:27 AM

411847

OptionProbability

A rent freeze in rent-stabilized housing

Commit 0.5% of NYC's budget to libraries

Free city buses

At least two grocery stores operated by the city government

Appoint a Mom-and-Pop Czar

Free childcare in NYC

Pass a law for a $30 minimum wage by 2030

92

79

71

71

67

57

46

Will 10% of New York city die in any year from disaster, before 2035?

Jun 3, 3:14 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

2.9%chance

121121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1788

923

Will Eric Adams, Andrew Cuomo, or Curtis Sliwa drop out of the 2025 New York City Mayoral race?

Jul 8, 9:43 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

43.23%chance

13517

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

What will the margin of victory be in the 2025 New York City mayoral election?

Jul 4, 5:49 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM

12322

OptionProbability

More than 2 points

More than 4 points

More than 6 points

More than 8 points

More than 10 points

96

82

68

48

36

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