OptionProbability
I visit Times Square
A friend from [city] comes to NYC and I see them
I explore the High Line
At least 20 people I don't know bet on non-meta propositions on this market
I attend an OBNYC meetup
I visit the New York Public Library
I visit the Empire State Building
I see a Broadway show
I visit the Statue of Liberty
I am at least moderately homesick
I meet someone I've met before at [company]
I see a rat (rattus norvegicus)
I eat a new york bagel
At least 50 people I don't know bet on non-meta propositions on this market
I explore Central Park
I really like the city
I gain the desire to move to NYC
I see a horse
I visit the Met
I visit the MoMA
I gain a romantic interest
I cry at some point
I get a good intuition for what a Kan extension is
I start using at least one "New York ism" in my regular speech
I lose 5 lbs
I visit the Guggenheim Museum
I visit the American Museum of Natural History
I kiss someone
I wish I had spent more time doing tourist-y things
I witness a man arguing passionately with no one
I meet someone I think is smarter than anyone I have ever met before
Someone signs up primarily to bet in this market
I see at least 4 protests
At least 100 people I don't know bet on non-meta propositions on this market
I resolve a proposition in this market incorrectly
I eat at least 10 meals of plain white rice
My opinion of the United States changes significantly in valence
I eat a bagel with lox and cream cheese from Russ & Daughters
I hail a cab
I gain at least 5lbs of weight
I eat something from a street cart that costs less than $5
I play chess in a park
I actively participate in or actively attend a political rally or political protest
I attend a pride parade
I explore Coney Island
I hail a cab in a way that could plausibly be mistaken for a nazi salute
I regret making this market
I hear someone say "I'm walkin' here!" unironically
I witness a violent crime
I solve a millennium problem
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
74
72
67
67
64
64
56
56
54
54
51
50
50
46
44
44
44
43
43
43
42
40
40
40
39
25
23
21
19
19
18
14
10
10
5
1