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Prediction markets for County

Will Mark Meadows change his plea to guilty in Fulton County?

Sep 13, 9:47 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

9.99%chance

217187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1434

797

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

64.35%chance

607115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13407

7472

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

47.66%chance

52539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10480

9542

Will Flannery Associates' proposed city in Solano County be established and inhabited before 2030?

Aug 26, 10:35 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.72%chance

161718

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1760

347

Will Trump take the stand in his Fulton County trial?

Sep 18, 2:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.14%chance

201579

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1390

893

Will over 100,000 people live in the "City Built From Scratch" by "The Silicon Valley Elite" in Solano County in 2030?

Aug 25, 10:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.27%chance

18917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1641

919

Will Donald Trump be offered a plea deal in Fulton County?

Oct 20, 10:25 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

11.19%chance

19851

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1426

852

Which of the following counties will have an inbound maritime oil delivery disrupted by a military attack prior to 2028?

Jan 5, 4:43 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

5226

OptionProbability

US

UK

Germany

Japan

China

South Korea

North Korea

France

Israel

India

73

67

67

66

64

61

56

52

45

44

Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 2,000,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:53 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

53.77%chance

3180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

721

359

Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 1,000,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:52 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

88.31%chance

291

OptionVotes

NO

YES

181

58

Will the Flannery Associates Solano county land be zoned other than agricultural by 2030?

Aug 27, 8:51 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

65.35%chance

771

OptionVotes

NO

YES

190

155

>1k acres of public lands south of San Mateo County [eg Rancho Corral de Tierra] turned into private land btwn [2025-8]?

Nov 12, 8:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.5%chance

342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

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