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Prediction markets for County

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

69.37%chance

8025385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15021

6674

Will Democrat Angie Nixon win Miami Dade County in the Florida Senate Election?

Sep 20, 10:06 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

44%chance

246412

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

53

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

34.52%chance

85947

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13772

7261

Will Flannery Associates' proposed city in Solano County be established and inhabited before 2030?

Aug 26, 10:35 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.72%chance

161718

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1760

347

Will over 100,000 people live in the "City Built From Scratch" by "The Silicon Valley Elite" in Solano County in 2030?

Aug 25, 10:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.27%chance

18917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1641

919

Will Donald Trump be offered a plea deal in Fulton County?

Oct 20, 10:25 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

10.78%chance

20901

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1476

846

Which of the following counties will have an inbound maritime oil delivery disrupted by a military attack prior to 2028?

Jan 5, 4:43 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

11849

OptionProbability

US

China

UK

Japan

Germany

South Korea

North Korea

India

Israel

France

79

78

67

66

62

61

56

52

52

45

Will James Talarico win Starr County by 7.000% or more in the 2026 Texas Senate election?

Sep 7, 6:00 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

63.78%chance

4681

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1222

848

James Talarico Starr County vote percent?

Sep 21, 12:45 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

3368

OptionProbability

At least 50%

At least 52%

At least 54%

At least 56%

At least 58%

At least 60%

At least 62%

At least 64%

79

69

59

50

41

34

28

22

Abdul El Sayed vote percent in Oakland County for 2026 Michigan senate?

Sep 21, 12:08 AMOct 20, 11:06 PM

5315

OptionProbability

At least 50%

At least 52%

At least 54%

At least 56%

At least 58%

At least 60%

At least 62%

At least 64%

96

86

76

62

40

24

14

10

Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 2,000,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:53 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

62.29%chance

4280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

649

459

Will democrats win Miami-Dade county in any 2026 Florida Statewide race?

Aug 23, 7:57 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM

54.66%chance

4268

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1098

911

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