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Prediction markets for County

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

55.37%chance

659769

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11107

9009

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

39.13%chance

74647

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12472

8018

2026 President of the Cook County Board of Commissioners election winner

May 1, 4:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63189

OptionProbability

Toni Preckwinkle

Brendan Reilly

Other

93

4

3

Will Flannery Associates' proposed city in Solano County be established and inhabited before 2030?

Aug 26, 10:35 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.72%chance

161718

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1760

347

Will over 100,000 people live in the "City Built From Scratch" by "The Silicon Valley Elite" in Solano County in 2030?

Aug 25, 10:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.27%chance

18917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1641

919

Will Donald Trump be offered a plea deal in Fulton County?

Oct 20, 10:25 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

10.78%chance

20901

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1476

846

Will the Springfield-Greene County Library start circulating video games before December 2029?

Oct 18, 12:38 PMDec 1, 5:59 AM

37.17%chance

1300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

631

100

Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 2,000,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:53 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

53.77%chance

3180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

721

359

Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 1,500,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:53 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

67.37%chance

485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

77

Will the Flannery Associates Solano county land be zoned other than agricultural by 2030?

Aug 27, 8:51 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

65.35%chance

771

OptionVotes

NO

YES

190

155

Will sea-level rise cost Miami Dade County $3.2 billion by 2040?

Apr 1, 3:39 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

56.22%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

155

127

Will the median home value in travis county be more than 750,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:57 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

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