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Prediction markets for County

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

33%chance

8733984

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14277

6989

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

22.11%chance

910947

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18772

5327

Will Flannery Associates' proposed city in Solano County be established and inhabited before 2030?

Aug 26, 10:35 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.72%chance

161718

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1760

347

Which of the following counties will have an inbound maritime oil delivery disrupted by a military attack prior to 2028?

Jan 5, 4:43 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

12999

OptionProbability

India

US

China

UK

Japan

Germany

South Korea

North Korea

Israel

France

91

79

78

67

66

62

61

56

52

45

Will over 100,000 people live in the "City Built From Scratch" by "The Silicon Valley Elite" in Solano County in 2030?

Aug 25, 10:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.27%chance

18917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1641

919

Will Donald Trump be offered a plea deal in Fulton County?

Oct 20, 10:25 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

10.78%chance

20901

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1476

846

Will the Springfield-Greene County Library start circulating video games before December 2029?

Oct 18, 12:38 PMDec 1, 5:59 AM

32.21%chance

2330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

661

84

Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 2,000,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:53 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

62.29%chance

4280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

649

459

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

40.56%chance

5224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

83

Who will win the 2026 by-election for Craghead and South Moor (Durham County Council)?

Oct 15, 4:17 PMNov 19, 10:00 PM

473

OptionProbability

Mark Taylor (Reform)

Les Timbey (Labour)

Other

64

26

10

Which Atlanta area county other than Fayette will a democrat win first?

May 16, 5:46 PMDec 31, 6:46 PM

130

OptionProbability

Paulding

Coweta

Carroll

Spalding

33

31

23

13

Will sea-level rise cost Miami Dade County $3.2 billion by 2040?

Apr 1, 3:39 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

56.22%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

155

127

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